NYSE · Industrials · Electrical Equipment · USD

VRT Vertiv

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202.07−7.57 (−3.61%)
At close · Friday, 13 November 2026

Key facts

  • Vertiv (VRT) closed at $202.07 on .
  • On , the model view for the next month was negative: an expected return of −0.46% over 21 sessions, with a 26% chance of a rise.
  • On , the model’s intrinsic value was $110.29, a gap of −45.4% to that day’s price, so the long-term model view was negative.
  • On , the market regime read strong risk-off.
  • At the settlement, short interest in VRT was 2.9% of the float, 1.3 days to cover.
  • On , the close sat inside a 52-week range of $147.75 to $379.86.
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Overlay
1Y +16.65% · from $173.23 to $202.07
Nov 25Feb 26May 26Aug 26Nov 26Intrinsic value110.29sessions ahead →21243.22304.90366.58173.23202.07
Previous close209.64
Open213.06
Day’s range196.00 – 214.49
52-week range147.75 – 379.86
Volume5,401,100
Avg. volume, 3 months6,208,486
Market cap$77.81B
Beta (5Y weekly)2.16
P/E ratio (TTM)45.11
EPS (TTM)5.35
Dividend yield—
Intrinsic value110.29
Gap to intrinsic value−45.4%
21-session view−0.46%
Chance of rising, 21 sessions26%
Market regimeStrong risk-off

Closing figures, not live. Intrinsic value, forecasts and regime are the platform’s own models.

Opulence Alpha’s viewDaily note · after the close, Friday, 13 November 2026

Above intrinsic value. Model view: negative for the next month, negative for the long term

Model view
Next monthNegative−0.46% expected · 26 in 100 chance of rising
Next 3 monthsPositive+7.92% expected · band −43.4% to +59.2%
Long termNegativeIntrinsic value $110.29, 45% below the close
ConfidenceMedium51% of 283 past one-month calls right, against 52.3% across every name

The view

As of 13 November 2026, Vertiv closed at $202.07, a change of +16.6% over the past year, in a strong risk-off market regime. The Intrinsic Value model puts the share at $110.29, so intrinsic value sits −45.4% from the price, well below where the stock trades. The published 21-session view leans down, with an expected return of −0.46% and a probability of a rise of 26%. The published 63-session view leans up, with an expected return of +7.92%.

Next month: why the model view is negative

The 21-session view leans down at −0.46%, with a probability of a rise of 26% and a wide band from −32.2% to +31.2%. The facts on that side are weak trend and stress: the close sits −25.6% from its 200-day average, momentum and strength against its sector rank among the lowest in the S&P 500, volatility ranks near the top, and the regime is risk-off. The close is still 36.8% above its 52-week low. History disagrees: the 200 past situations like today's had a median return of +8.2% over the next 21 sessions and rose in 76% of cases. That is history, not a forecast.

Next 3 months: model view positive

The 63-session view leans the other way, up, at +7.92%, inside a band running from −43.4% to +59.2%. What carries it is quality rather than trend: several balance sheet, cash flow to debt and profitability measures sit at the highest of the company's own five years, and insider and block holder flows rank high. The two views can differ because short-horizon signals weigh the weak price trend and the regime, while longer horizons give more weight to fundamentals. The 200 past situations like today's had a median return of +14.1% over the next 63 sessions and rose in 77% of cases, history that agrees with this lean.

The long term

The long-term case is split. Against it, intrinsic value of $110.29 sits −45.4% from the price, the earnings multiple of 45.11 places Vertiv at percentile 93 in its sector, among the highest, and price to book is 16.89. For it, return on equity is 46.6%, revenue grew +61.2%, operating cash flow reached $3.64B, debt to equity of 0.53 sits at percentile 44, near the sector middle, and the Piotroski score is 6. Past situations like today's had a median return of +26.5% over the following year and rose in 69% of cases, as history. Valuation drives the caution; profitability and cash generation drive the support.

How sure we are

Confidence is modest at every horizon. On this name, 51% of 283 matured 21-session forecasts matched the direction, close to the base rate of about half across all names, so the record adds little edge. The history rests on 200 past situations matched on seven measures, not on the 611 features in today's fingerprint. The bands are very wide: −32.2% to +31.2% over 21 sessions and −43.4% to +59.2% over 63 sessions, which reflects volatility near the top of the S&P 500. Each reading is a dated probability, not a promise.

Written by our research agent from 611 features and the model forecasts. A dated model reading, not investment advice. How the model view is set: next month and next 3 months follow the sign of the model’s expected return over 21 and 63 sessions, positive above zero and negative below; long term reads positive at an intrinsic value gap of +10% or more, negative at −10% or less, neutral between. Confidence comes from this name’s own record of one-month calls: low under 50% right or with fewer than 60 matured, medium from 50% to 55%, high above 55%. A rule, not advice.

The evidence behind the view

Readings that point for or against the stock. The bar is how far each sits from the middle of its sector (or from even odds, for the forecast).

Against the stock · 4Distance
Earnings multipleP/E 45.11 · percentile 95 in the sector
Trend, 63 sessionsReturn percentile 9 in the sector
ValuationIntrinsic value $110.29 · gap −45.4% · percentile 12 in the sector
Forecast, next month−0.46% · 26 in 100 chance of rising
For the stock · 4Distance
Revenue growth+61.2% a year · percentile 99 in the sector
Return on equity46.6% · percentile 86 in the sector
Short sellingShort-sale volume at percentile 18 in the sector
DebtDebt / equity 0.53 · percentile 38 in the sector

The forecast

Expected return and the model’s band, per horizon. The 21-session view is public in full, the 63-session view without its chance of rising.

ExpectedBand
Horizon−40%0+40%ExpectedChance of rising
1 session••••Members
5 sessions••••Members
21 sessions−0.46%26 in 100
63 sessions+7.92%Members
Unlock the 1- and 5-session forecasts and the 63-session chance of rising, all 8 model voices, the exit map and alerts when this view changes.
Five sources3 of 5 back the view
ValuationSupportsGap to intrinsic value −45.4% · rule ±10%Members
RegimeAgainst79% regime equity weight · rule 75% / 40%Members
TechnicalsMembers
FundamentalsMembers
Analyst coverageMembers

Model voices · 2 of 8 shown

Model bundleweight 32%−0.11%Gradient-boosted treesweight 19%+5.14%
611 features · computed after every close

Feature fingerprint

Each family’s percentile in Industrials · S&P 500 percentile beneath · 13 Nov 2026

What pushed the 21-session view

Contribution of each feature family to VRT’s −0.46%, against the market’s +1.2%. Two shown in full.

Sector-relative+0.24%
Momentum+0.23%
Macro sensitivity
Value
Flows
Liquidity
Crowding
Other 4 families

What moved in the data today

Features whose S&P 500 percentile moved furthest since the previous reading, in percentile points.

Gapless return 1d Momentump99 → p0−99
Xs sector momentum rank 1d Sector-relativep98 → p1−97
Gap size pct Momentump4 → p97+93
Return 1d Momentump95 → p4−91
Xs ret zscore 1d Sector-relativep95 → p4−91
Return 2d Momentump98 → p19−79
Return zscore 21 Volatilityp88 → p12−76

Feature explorer

Value, percentile in the sector and in the S&P 500, change since the last reading, and whether the feature has a tested record.

FeatureFamilyValueSectorOwn 5YΔ 1dTrendRecord
Momentum, 126 sessionsMomentum−45.52p0p70Untested
Value compositeValue0.124p5p350Untested
Quality compositeQuality0.768p92p1000Untested
Realised volatility, 63 sessionsVolatility0.775p99p860Untested
Illiquidity (Amihud), 5 daysLiquidity<0.001p49p45+5Faint · 23/32 yrs
Short-sale volume, 21 sessionsCrowding0.430p20p35+2Proven · 15/18 yrs
Net insider value, 30 daysFlows$0.00p69p97+1None · 11/24 yrs
Sentiment scoreSentiment−0.042p45p230Untested
Market betaMacro sensitivity1.68p94p65+1None · 20/32 yrs
Relative return, 21 sessionsSector-relative−0.111p19p20Faint · 26/32 yrs
Momentum, 63 sessionsMomentum−30.90p4p80None · 18/32 yrs
Profitability compositeQuality0.827p86p1000Untested
Return volatility, 21 sessionsVolatility1.12p99p960Untested
Price impact (Kyle’s lambda)Liquidity0.006p38p750None · 24/32 yrs
Days to coverCrowding1.33p3p720None · 4/6 yrs

History like this

200 past situations across 1,764 US stocks since 1995, delisted names included, matched on seven measures of today’s reading.

Median, 21 sessions+8.2%
Share that rose76%
Low end (q10)−9%
High end (q90)+27.9%
MNST Oct 2012+16.6%
MNST Nov 2012+17.4%
AEHR Nov 2023+10.7%
ODP Oct 2017−12.2%

Where VRT ranks across the S&P 500

Each line is all 496 companies, lowest on the left. Select a row for the full ranking page.

Statistics

Prices: daily close 13 Nov 2026 · fundamentals: period ending 30 Sep 2026 · “p” = percentile among the 81 Industrials members

Fundamentals

Key statistics

Each bar places VRT among its sector’s companies. The grey tick marks the sector middle.

45.11×P/EHigher than 95% of the sectorSector percentile 95
16.89×Price / bookHigher than 89% of the sectorSector percentile 89
30.16×EV / EBITDAHigher than 93% of the sectorSector percentile 93
−45.4%Gap to intrinsic valueFREELower than 88% of the sectorSector percentile 12
—Gross marginSector median 33.6%
46.6%Return on equityHigher than 86% of the sectorSector percentile 86
0.53Debt / equityLower than 62% of the sectorSector percentile 38
6 of 9Financial healthPiotroski F-score from nine accounting tests; 9 is strongestScale 0 to 9
Market cap$77.81B
Enterprise value$92.33B
Revenue, ttm$13.12B
Net income, ttm$2.06B
EBITDA, ttm$3.06B
EPS, ttm$5.35
Book value / share$14.29
Shares outstanding385.06M
Dividend yield—
Intrinsic valueFREE$110.29

Technicals

Key statistics

Where today’s close and readings sit on each scale.

45.1RSI (14)50 is balance; under 30 is oversold, over 70 overbought.Scale 0 to 100
23%In 52-week rangeLow $147.75, high $379.86Low to high, past year
33%In today’s rangeRange $196.00 to $214.49Low to high, 13 Nov 2026
0.87×Volume vs average5.4M shares against 6.21M on an average dayScale 0 to 2× · tick at 1×
2.16Beta, 5 years1.0 moves in line with the S&P 500 on averageScale 0 to 2 · tick at 1
112.7%Price swings, 21 daysAnnualised realised volatilityScale 0 to 100%
−0.46%Forecast, next monthFREEBand −32.2% to +31.2% over 21 sessionsScale −5% to +5%
26%Chance of risingFREEModel probability over the next 21 sessionsScale 0 to 100 · tick at 50
−46.3%Drawdown from highDeepest fall in 5 years: −70.1%Scale 0 to −100%
Prev. close$209.64
Open$213.06
Day’s range$196.00 – $214.49
52-week range$147.75 – $379.86
Volume5.4M
Avg. volume, 3M6.21M
1-year change+16.65%
ATR (14)$20.65

Ownership

Ownership and short interest

Short interest11.07M
Short float2.9%
Days to cover1.3
Change since previous settlement−20.7%
Settlement date30 Oct 2026
Short-sale volume, 21d (ours)p18 in sector

Short interest as reported twice monthly by FINRA; short-sale volume percentile from our own features.

Insider transactions · SEC Form 4

DateInsiderTypePriceSharesValue
1 Sep 2026MONSER EDWARD L DirectorSale$255.583,520$899.64K
1 Sep 2026MONSER EDWARD L DirectorSale$254.633,040$774.06K
1 Sep 2026MONSER EDWARD L DirectorSale$252.532,280$575.76K
1 Sep 2026MONSER EDWARD L DirectorSale$256.362,087$535.02K
1 Sep 2026MONSER EDWARD L DirectorSale$251.561,440$362.25K
1 Sep 2026MONSER EDWARD L DirectorSale$250.581,040$260.60K
1 Sep 2026MONSER EDWARD L DirectorSale$253.371,000$253.37K
1 Sep 2026MONSER EDWARD L DirectorSale$249.43880$219.50K

Related studies

What the measured data says about the signals on this page.

Forecast record on VRT

51% of 283 matured 21-session forecasts on Vertiv called the direction correctly.

−40%−5%−20%−2.5%0%0%+20%+2.5%+40%+5%Published 21-session view →↑ What followed
CalledMissedEach square is one matured forecast: the view published that day against what followed.

Against the base rate

VRT, 21 sessions51.2%n 283 matured
Every name52.3%n 374,970 · 2 Sep 2025 to 15 Oct 2026
Belief in the highest decile51.3%n 37,318 matured
… and 5+ voices agree51.2%n 36,828 matured · VRT sits in decile 1 today

Tick = 52.3% base rate, every name. How every forecast is tested

Peers

Same industry first, then the sector. Readings, valuation, return and short interest side by side.

−3%−100%−1.5%−72%0%−45%+1.5%−17%+3%+10%Gap to intrinsic value →↑ 21-session viewVRTAMEBEEMRETNROK
CompanyCloseMkt capP/E1YGap to intrinsic value21-session viewModel view, next monthShort float
VRT Vertiv$202.07$77.81B45.1+16.6%−45.4%−0.46%negative2.9%
AME Ametek$242.11$55.52B34.9+23.6%−22%+0.04%positive1.6%
BE Bloom Energy$191.99$56.76B3.6+51.5%−89.2%+1.75%positive10.8%
EMR Emerson Electric$166.38$91.28B32.4+27.6%−35.1%−0.94%negative1.8%
ETN Eaton$352.97$137.13B43.0−3.6%−34.6%+2.69%positive1.8%
GEV GE Vernova$803.13$212.57B24.9+39.8%—+2.12%positive2.7%
GNRC Generac$190.77$11.25B40.8+17.5%—−1.25%negative4.8%
ROK Rockwell Automation$402.46$44.17B34.7+3.4%−32%−1.25%negative3.2%
ADP Automatic Data Processing$309.93$122.35B22.9+24.5%—−0.6%negative2.4%

Questions about VRT

What is the intrinsic value of Vertiv stock?

The Intrinsic Value model's estimate for VRT is $110.29 per share against a $202.07 close on 13 November 2026, a gap of −45.4%. It is an estimate with a range, not a price target.

What is the VRT stock forecast?

The published 21-session view for VRT is −0.46%, with a band from −32.2% to +31.2% and a 26% chance of a rise; over 63 sessions it is +7.92%. These are expected returns from the platform's machine-learning models, re-estimated every trading day.

How accurate have the forecasts for VRT been?

51% of 283 matured 21-session forecasts on Vertiv called the direction correctly. Every forecast is published before its outcome is known and scored when it matures.

Is this investment advice?

No. It is a dated model reading of one company, published for research. Nothing on this page is a recommendation about any security.