NASDAQ · Information Technology · Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components · USD

FLEX Flex

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74.98−3.14 (−4.02%)
At close · Friday, 13 November 2026

Key facts

  • Flex (FLEX) closed at $74.98 on .
  • On , the model view for the next month was positive: an expected return of +1.12% over 21 sessions, with a 42% chance of a rise.
  • On , the model’s intrinsic value was $75.86, a gap of +1.2% to that day’s price, so the long-term model view was neutral.
  • On , the market regime read strong risk-off.
  • At the settlement, short interest in FLEX was 2.6% of the float, 1.3 days to cover.
  • On , the close sat inside a 52-week range of $53.07 to $166.86.
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Overlay
1Y +19.17% · from $62.92 to $74.98
Nov 25Feb 26May 26Aug 26Nov 26Intrinsic value75.86sessions ahead →21105.13131.55157.9762.9274.98
Previous close78.12
Open77.54
Day’s range72.04 – 78.24
52-week range53.07 – 166.86
Volume3,344,500
Avg. volume, 3 months4,497,727
Market cap$27.70B
Beta (5Y weekly)1.54
P/E ratio (TTM)41.38
EPS (TTM)2.77
Dividend yield0%
Intrinsic value75.86
Gap to intrinsic value+1.2%
21-session view+1.12%
Chance of rising, 21 sessions42%
Market regimeStrong risk-off

Closing figures, not live. Intrinsic value, forecasts and regime are the platform’s own models.

Opulence Alpha’s viewDaily note · after the close, Friday, 13 November 2026

Near intrinsic value. Model view: positive for the next month, neutral for the long term

Model view
Next monthPositive+1.12% expected · 42 in 100 chance of rising
Next 3 monthsPositive+7.75% expected · band −44.9% to +60.4%
Long termNeutralIntrinsic value $75.86, 1% above the close
ConfidenceMedium54.96% of 283 past one-month calls right, against 52.3% across every name

The view

Flex closed at $74.98 on 13 November 2026; the model’s intrinsic value is $75.86, a gap of +1.2%. The published 21-session view is +1.12%, inside a band from −35.7% to +38%, with a 42% chance of a rise. Over 63 sessions it is +7.75%.

Next month: why the model view is positive

Short-sale volume in FLEX sits at percentile 1 of its sector, lower than most peers. The market regime reads strong risk-off. Revenue growth is +24.8% a year. Across 200 past situations like today's in US stocks since 1995, the median move over the next 21 sessions was +9.1%, and 68% of them rose.

Next 3 months: model view positive

The published 63-session view is +7.75%, inside a band from −44.9% to +60.4%. Over the next 63 sessions the same past situations moved a median +19.2%, and 74% of them rose.

The long term

The Intrinsic Value model puts intrinsic value at $75.86, a gap of +1.2% to the close. The shares trade at 41.38 times earnings, percentile 58 in the sector. Price to book is 7.30. Return on equity is 19.1%. Operating cash flow is $1.61B a year. The price is 41.3% above its 52-week low. A year on, the past situations most like today's had moved a median +23.8%, and 65% of them rose.

How sure we are

On FLEX, 54.96% of 283 matured one-month calls got the direction right, against 52.3% across every name. We update this note after every close.

Sentences filled by rule from the day’s figures. A dated model reading, not investment advice. How the model view is set: next month and next 3 months follow the sign of the model’s expected return over 21 and 63 sessions, positive above zero and negative below; long term reads positive at an intrinsic value gap of +10% or more, negative at −10% or less, neutral between. Confidence comes from this name’s own record of one-month calls: low under 50% right or with fewer than 60 matured, medium from 50% to 55%, high above 55%. A rule, not advice.

The evidence behind the view

Readings that point for or against the stock. The bar is how far each sits from the middle of its sector (or from even odds, for the forecast).

Against the stock · 4Distance
Trend, 63 sessionsReturn percentile 8 in the sector
DebtDebt / equity 0.90 · percentile 81 in the sector
Earnings multipleP/E 41.38 · percentile 60 in the sector
Return on equity19.1% · percentile 45 in the sector
For the stock · 4Distance
Short sellingShort-sale volume at percentile 1 in the sector
ValuationIntrinsic value $75.86 · gap +1.2% · percentile 70 in the sector
Forecast, next month+1.12% · 42 in 100 chance of rising
Revenue growth+24.8% a year · percentile 58 in the sector

The forecast

Expected return and the model’s band, per horizon. The 21-session view is public in full, the 63-session view without its chance of rising.

ExpectedBand
Horizon−40%0+40%ExpectedChance of rising
1 session••••Members
5 sessions••••Members
21 sessions+1.12%42 in 100
63 sessions+7.75%Members
Unlock the 1- and 5-session forecasts and the 63-session chance of rising, all 8 model voices, the exit map and alerts when this view changes.
Five sources3 of 5 back the view
ValuationMixedGap to intrinsic value +1.2% · rule ±10%Members
RegimeSupports79% regime equity weight · rule 75% / 40%Members
TechnicalsMembers
FundamentalsMembers
Analyst coverageMembers

Model voices · 2 of 8 shown

Model bundleweight 21%−0.01%Gradient-boosted treesweight 19%+9.33%
601 features · computed after every close

Feature fingerprint

Each family’s percentile in Information Technology · S&P 500 percentile beneath · 13 Nov 2026

What pushed the 21-session view

Contribution of each feature family to FLEX’s +1.12%, against the market’s +1.2%. Two shown in full.

Sector-relative+0.32%
Momentum+0.25%
Liquidity
Flows
Sentiment
Macro sensitivity
Value
Other 4 families

What moved in the data today

Features whose S&P 500 percentile moved furthest since the previous reading, in percentile points.

Gapless return 1d Momentump96 → p3−93
Iv iv change 1d pct Valuep9 → p98+89
Distance from 5d mean Momentump86 → p3−83
Return 2d Momentump87 → p5−82
Return zscore 21 Volatilityp78 → p16−62
Bollinger position 5d Momentump62 → p3−59
Obv slope 3d Liquidityp83 → p24−59

Feature explorer

Value, percentile in the sector and in the S&P 500, change since the last reading, and whether the feature has a tested record.

FeatureFamilyValueSectorOwn 5YΔ 1dTrendRecord
Momentum, 126 sessionsMomentum−45.61p1p0−1Untested
Value compositeValue0.370p42p50Untested
Quality compositeQuality0.343p6p310Untested
Realised volatility, 63 sessionsVolatility0.786p82p950Untested
Illiquidity (Amihud), 5 daysLiquidity<0.001p99p51+2Faint · 23/32 yrs
Short-sale volume, 21 sessionsCrowding0.263p1p0+1Proven · 15/18 yrs
Net insider value, 30 daysFlows$0.00p76p100+1None · 11/24 yrs
Sentiment scoreSentiment0.313p100p570Untested
Market betaMacro sensitivity1.81p91p990None · 20/32 yrs
Relative return, 21 sessionsSector-relative−0.183p15p1−1Faint · 26/32 yrs
Momentum, 63 sessionsMomentum−42.32p7p00None · 18/32 yrs
Profitability compositeQuality0.131p0p150Untested
Return volatility, 21 sessionsVolatility1.12p91p980Untested
Price impact (Kyle’s lambda)Liquidity0.008p65p960None · 24/32 yrs
Days to coverCrowding1.25p9p590None · 4/6 yrs

History like this

200 past situations across 1,764 US stocks since 1995, delisted names included, matched on seven measures of today’s reading.

Median, 21 sessions+9.1%
Share that rose68%
Low end (q10)−14.6%
High end (q90)+35.4%
VRDN Apr 2026−29.9%
DAN Aug 2011−9.6%
TMUS Aug 2011−9.8%
CG Apr 2020+12.5%

Where FLEX ranks across the S&P 500

Each line is all 496 companies, lowest on the left. Select a row for the full ranking page.

Statistics

Prices: daily close 13 Nov 2026 · fundamentals: period ending 25 Sep 2026 · “p” = percentile among the 75 Information Technology members

Fundamentals

Key statistics

Each bar places FLEX among its sector’s companies. The grey tick marks the sector middle.

41.38×P/EHigher than 60% of the sectorSector percentile 60
7.30×Price / bookHigher than 51% of the sectorSector percentile 51
22.67×EV / EBITDAHigher than 52% of the sectorSector percentile 52
+1.2%Gap to intrinsic valueFREEHigher than 70% of the sectorSector percentile 70
9.6%Gross marginLower than 98% of the sectorSector percentile 2
19.1%Return on equityLower than 55% of the sectorSector percentile 45
0.90Debt / equityHigher than 81% of the sectorSector percentile 81
7 of 9Financial healthPiotroski F-score from nine accounting tests; 9 is strongestScale 0 to 9
Market cap$27.70B
Enterprise value$44.50B
Revenue, ttm$30.95B
Net income, ttm$1.02B
EBITDA, ttm$1.96B
EPS, ttm$2.77
Book value / share$15.72
Shares outstanding369.46M
Dividend yield0%
Intrinsic valueFREE$75.86

Technicals

Key statistics

Where today’s close and readings sit on each scale.

39.3RSI (14)50 is balance; under 30 is oversold, over 70 overbought.Scale 0 to 100
19%In 52-week rangeLow $53.07, high $166.86Low to high, past year
47%In today’s rangeRange $72.04 to $78.24Low to high, 13 Nov 2026
0.74×Volume vs average3.34M shares against 4.5M on an average dayScale 0 to 2× · tick at 1×
1.54Beta, 5 years1.0 moves in line with the S&P 500 on averageScale 0 to 2 · tick at 1
113.8%Price swings, 21 daysAnnualised realised volatilityScale 0 to 100%
+1.12%Forecast, next monthFREEBand −35.7% to +38% over 21 sessionsScale −5% to +5%
42%Chance of risingFREEModel probability over the next 21 sessionsScale 0 to 100 · tick at 50
−53.7%Drawdown from highDeepest fall in 5 years: −58.8%Scale 0 to −100%
Prev. close$78.12
Open$77.54
Day’s range$72.04 – $78.24
52-week range$53.07 – $166.86
Volume3.34M
Avg. volume, 3M4.5M
1-year change+19.17%
ATR (14)$7.89

Ownership

Ownership and short interest

Short interest9.56M
Short float2.6%
Days to cover1.3
Change since previous settlement+20.9%
Settlement date30 Oct 2026
Short-sale volume, 21d (ours)p1 in sector

Short interest as reported twice monthly by FINRA; short-sale volume percentile from our own features.

Insider transactions · SEC Form 4

DateInsiderTypePriceSharesValue
18 Aug 2026Hartung Michael P Chief Commercial OfficerSale$120.741,272$153.58K
18 Aug 2026Hartung Michael P Chief Commercial OfficerSale$119.791,007$120.63K
18 Aug 2026Hartung Michael P Chief Commercial OfficerSale$121.76272$33.12K
18 Aug 2026Hartung Michael P Chief Commercial OfficerSale$122.60196$24.03K
18 Aug 2026Hartung Michael P Chief Commercial OfficerSale$123.258$985.98
18 Jun 2026Advaithi Revathi Chief Executive OfficerSale$145.3521,985$3.20M
18 Jun 2026Advaithi Revathi Chief Executive OfficerSale$144.8816,282$2.36M
18 Jun 2026Tan Kwang Hooi Chief Operating OfficerSale$145.335,934$862.42K

Related studies

What the measured data says about the signals on this page.

Forecast record on FLEX

54.96% of 283 matured 21-session forecasts on Flex called the direction correctly.

−70%−4%−35%−2%0%0%+35%+2%+70%+4%Published 21-session view →↑ What followed
CalledMissedEach square is one matured forecast: the view published that day against what followed.

Against the base rate

FLEX, 21 sessions55%n 283 matured
Every name52.3%n 374,970 · 2 Sep 2025 to 15 Oct 2026
Belief in the highest decile51.3%n 37,318 matured
… and 5+ voices agree51.2%n 36,828 matured · FLEX sits in decile 5 today

Tick = 52.3% base rate, every name. How every forecast is tested

Peers

Same industry first, then the sector. Readings, valuation, return and short interest side by side.

−2.5%−100%−1.2%−62%0%−25%+1.3%+13%+2.5%+50%Gap to intrinsic value →↑ 21-session viewFLEXAPHCDWCOHRGLWJBLKEYSROPTDY
CompanyCloseMkt capP/E1YGap to intrinsic value21-session viewModel view, next monthShort float
FLEX Flex$74.98$27.70B41.4+19.2%+1.2%+1.12%positive2.6%
APH Amphenol$78.23$193.17B22.9+10.8%−37%+0.81%positive1.3%
CDW CDW$171.65$21.42B15.0+18.3%+38.1%−1.78%negative6.4%
COHR Coherent$218.15$42.97B59.2+39.2%−81.3%+0.81%positive5.4%
GLW Corning$114.08$98.27B62.6+29%−65.5%+1.44%positive1.9%
JBL Jabil$254.25$26.18B31.3+19%−11.6%+2.03%positive3.2%
KEYS Keysight Technologies$297.68$50.68B43.7+61.7%−63.7%+0.35%positive1.9%
ROP Roper Technologies$479.98$47.54B13.9+6.2%−16.6%−0.46%negative5.2%
TDY Teledyne Technologies$643.73$29.64B28.1+23.9%−20.8%−0.98%negative2.5%

Questions about FLEX

What is the intrinsic value of Flex stock?

The Intrinsic Value model's estimate for FLEX is $75.86 per share against a $74.98 close on 13 November 2026, a gap of +1.2%. It is an estimate with a range, not a price target.

What is the FLEX stock forecast?

The published 21-session view for FLEX is +1.12%, with a band from −35.7% to +38% and a 42% chance of a rise; over 63 sessions it is +7.75%. These are expected returns from the platform's machine-learning models, re-estimated every trading day.

How accurate have the forecasts for FLEX been?

54.96% of 283 matured 21-session forecasts on Flex called the direction correctly. Every forecast is published before its outcome is known and scored when it matures.

Is this investment advice?

No. It is a dated model reading of one company, published for research. Nothing on this page is a recommendation about any security.