NASDAQ · Consumer Discretionary · Diversified Consumer Services · USD

DASH DoorDash

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171.51−1.07 (−0.62%)
At close · Friday, 13 November 2026

Key facts

  • DoorDash (DASH) closed at $171.51 on .
  • On , the model view for the next month was positive: an expected return of +2.39% over 21 sessions, with a 63% chance of a rise.
  • On , the market regime read strong risk-off.
  • At the settlement, short interest in DASH was 4.2% of the float, 3.2 days to cover.
  • On , the close sat inside a 52-week range of $143.30 to $239.00.
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Overlay
1Y −12.72% · from $196.51 to $171.51
Nov 25Feb 26May 26Aug 26Nov 26sessions ahead →21138.63162.29185.94209.60233.26196.51171.51
Previous close172.58
Open173.55
Day’s range169.65 – 175.52
52-week range143.30 – 239.00
Volume5,259,700
Avg. volume, 3 months4,545,024
Market cap$75.52B
Beta (5Y weekly)1.83
P/E ratio (TTM)75.58
EPS (TTM)2.43
Dividend yield—
Intrinsic value—
Gap to intrinsic value—
21-session view+2.39%
Chance of rising, 21 sessions63%
Market regimeStrong risk-off

Closing figures, not live. Intrinsic value, forecasts and regime are the platform’s own models.

Opulence Alpha’s viewDaily note · after the close, Friday, 13 November 2026
Model view
Next monthPositive+2.39% expected · 63 in 100 chance of rising
Next 3 monthsPositive+1.42% expected · band −32.7% to +35.5%
Long term——
ConfidenceLow40% of 283 past one-month calls right, against 52.3% across every name

The view

DoorDash closed at $171.51 on 13 November 2026, with a share price change over the past year of −12.7%. The close sits −5.5% from its 200-day average and 19.7% above its 52-week low. No intrinsic value reading is published for the name in this note, so the price cannot be set against one here. The 21-session view leans up, with an expected return of +2.39% and a probability of a rise of 63%. The 63-session view also leans up, with an expected return of +1.42%. All of this is read against a strong risk-off market regime.

Next month: why the model view is positive

The published 21-session view leans up at +2.39%, with 63% for a rise, but the band runs from −21.3% to +26.1%, so the lean is small against the spread. The strongest facts on the up side are operating ones: revenue growth of +34% and operating cash flow of $2.95B. More unusual for DoorDash, several chart-pattern measures of volume, liquidity and momentum anomalies sit at the highest of its own five years, while day-to-day return autocorrelation is the lowest in five years. Against that stand the strong risk-off regime and volatility that ranks high in the S&P 500. The 200 past situations like today's had a median of +1.5% over the next 21 sessions and rose in 57% of cases. That history, not a forecast, agrees with a mild upward lean.

Next 3 months: model view positive

The 63-session view also leans up, at +1.42%, with a band from −32.7% to +35.5%, wider than the near-term one. Both views point the same way, so there is no split between horizons to explain. Growth and cash flow carry the lean, while weaker facts pull against it: the quality family ranks low in the S&P 500, the Piotroski score is 3, and the price-to-earnings multiple of 75.58 sits at percentile 93 in the sector. The past situations like today's had a median of +1.8% over the next 63 sessions and rose in 55% of cases. That history supports the direction, but only just above an even split.

The long term

Without a published intrinsic value, the long-term case rests on fundamentals measured against the price of $171.51. Valuation is stretched against the sector, with a price-to-earnings multiple of 75.58 at percentile 93 and price to book of 7.54. A return on equity of 10.5% is modest for that multiple. The Piotroski score of 3 points to soft financial health, and no debt figure is given in this reading. The supporting side is revenue growth of +34% and operating cash flow of $2.95B. Past situations like today's had a median of +10% over the following year and rose in 62% of cases, which is history rather than a forecast. The near-term leans draw on growth and unusual volume patterns, while the long-term case sets that growth against a rich valuation.

How sure we are

The horizons deserve limited weight. On this name, 40% of matured 21-session forecasts matched the direction, measured on 283 cases. That is below the base rate of about half across all names. The comparison history rests on 200 past situations matched on only seven measures, not on the 582 features computed for the company. The bands are wide, from −21.3% to +26.1% over 21 sessions and from −32.7% to +35.5% over 63 sessions. Both published leans are small against these ranges.

Written by our research agent from 582 features and the model forecasts. A dated model reading, not investment advice. How the model view is set: next month and next 3 months follow the sign of the model’s expected return over 21 and 63 sessions, positive above zero and negative below; long term reads positive at an intrinsic value gap of +10% or more, negative at −10% or less, neutral between. Confidence comes from this name’s own record of one-month calls: low under 50% right or with fewer than 60 matured, medium from 50% to 55%, high above 55%. A rule, not advice.

The evidence behind the view

Readings that point for or against the stock. The bar is how far each sits from the middle of its sector (or from even odds, for the forecast).

Against the stock · 4Distance
Earnings multipleP/E 75.58 · percentile 96 in the sector
Insider trades, 30 daysNet insider value at percentile 11 in the sector
Trend, 63 sessionsReturn percentile 15 in the sector
Return on equity10.5% · percentile 38 in the sector
For the stock · 3Distance
Revenue growth+34% a year · percentile 98 in the sector
Forecast, next month+2.39% · 63 in 100 chance of rising
Short sellingShort-sale volume at percentile 44 in the sector

The forecast

Expected return and the model’s band, per horizon. The 21-session view is public in full, the 63-session view without its chance of rising.

ExpectedBand
Horizon−40%0+40%ExpectedChance of rising
1 session••••Members
5 sessions••••Members
21 sessions+2.39%63 in 100
63 sessions+1.42%Members
Unlock the 1- and 5-session forecasts and the 63-session chance of rising, all 6 model voices, the exit map and alerts when this view changes.
Five sources1 of 4 back the view
ValuationNo reading—Members
RegimeSupports79% regime equity weight · rule 75% / 40%Members
TechnicalsMembers
FundamentalsMembers
Analyst coverageMembers

Model voices · 2 of 6 shown

Model bundleweight 29%+0.02%Gradient-boosted treesweight 19%+5.06%
582 features · computed after every close

Feature fingerprint

Each family’s percentile in Consumer Discretionary · S&P 500 percentile beneath · 13 Nov 2026

What pushed the 21-session view

Contribution of each feature family to DASH’s +2.39%, against the market’s +1.2%. Two shown in full.

Momentum+0.19%
Sector-relative+0.18%
Macro sensitivity
Value
Liquidity
Flows
Crowding
Other 4 families

What moved in the data on 10 Nov

Features whose move on that session was furthest from their own normal, in standard deviations of their last 30 sessions’ moves.

Pattern confidence Patterns0.215 → 0.262+0.6σ

Feature explorer

Value, percentile in the sector and in the S&P 500, change since the last reading, and whether the feature has a tested record.

FeatureFamilyValueSectorOwn 5YΔ 1dTrendRecord
Momentum, 126 sessionsMomentum7.73p50p51−11Untested
Value compositeValue0.208p9p260Untested
Realised volatility, 63 sessionsVolatility0.498p93p570Untested
Illiquidity (Amihud), 5 daysLiquidity<0.001p28p25+4Faint · 23/32 yrs
Short-sale volume, 21 sessionsCrowding0.530p57p630Proven · 15/18 yrs
Net insider value, 30 daysFlows−$5.27Mp20p82+2None · 11/24 yrs
Sentiment scoreSentiment−0.016p70p670Untested
Market betaMacro sensitivity1.35p61p730None · 20/32 yrs
Pattern confidencePatterns0.149p6—−5Untested
Relative return, 21 sessionsSector-relative−0.163p4p3−2Faint · 26/32 yrs
Momentum, 63 sessionsMomentum−19.37p7p21−1None · 18/32 yrs
Profitability compositeQuality0.394p17p1000Untested
Return volatility, 21 sessionsVolatility0.640p96p83−1Untested
Price impact (Kyle’s lambda)Liquidity0.005p52p670None · 24/32 yrs
Days to coverCrowding3.18p35p940None · 4/6 yrs

History like this

200 past situations across 1,764 US stocks since 1995, delisted names included, matched on seven measures of today’s reading.

Median, 21 sessions+1.5%
Share that rose57%
Low end (q10)−13.4%
High end (q90)+13.9%
FNF Oct 2015−1.3%
SIMO Jul 2022−1%
RTN Dec 2019+5.9%
HEI Apr 2013+3.5%

Where DASH ranks across the S&P 500

Each line is all 496 companies, lowest on the left. Select a row for the full ranking page.

Statistics

Prices: daily close 13 Nov 2026 · fundamentals: period ending 30 Sep 2026 · “p” = percentile among the 47 Consumer Discretionary members

Fundamentals

Key statistics

Each bar places DASH among its sector’s companies. The grey tick marks the sector middle.

75.58×P/EHigher than 96% of the sectorSector percentile 96
7.54×Price / bookHigher than 67% of the sectorSector percentile 67
—EV / EBITDASector median 10.15×
—Gap to intrinsic valueFREE
—Gross marginSector median 39.8%
10.5%Return on equityLower than 62% of the sectorSector percentile 38
—Debt / equitySector median 0.60
3 of 9Financial healthPiotroski F-score from nine accounting tests; 9 is strongestScale 0 to 9
Market cap$75.52B
Enterprise value—
Revenue, ttm$17.06B
Net income, ttm$1.07B
EBITDA, ttm—
EPS, ttm$2.43
Book value / share$24.34
Shares outstanding440.31M
Dividend yield—
Intrinsic valueFREE—

Technicals

Key statistics

Where today’s close and readings sit on each scale.

41.1RSI (14)50 is balance; under 30 is oversold, over 70 overbought.Scale 0 to 100
29%In 52-week rangeLow $143.30, high $239.00Low to high, past year
32%In today’s rangeRange $169.65 to $175.52Low to high, 13 Nov 2026
1.16×Volume vs average5.26M shares against 4.55M on an average dayScale 0 to 2× · tick at 1×
1.83Beta, 5 years1.0 moves in line with the S&P 500 on averageScale 0 to 2 · tick at 1
64.3%Price swings, 21 daysAnnualised realised volatilityScale 0 to 100%
+2.39%Forecast, next monthFREEBand −21.3% to +26.1% over 21 sessionsScale −5% to +5%
63%Chance of risingFREEModel probability over the next 21 sessionsScale 0 to 100 · tick at 50
−27.6%Drawdown from highDeepest fall in 5 years: −82.5%Scale 0 to −100%
Prev. close$172.58
Open$173.55
Day’s range$169.65 – $175.52
52-week range$143.30 – $239.00
Volume5.26M
Avg. volume, 3M4.55M
1-year change−12.72%
ATR (14)$10.54

Ownership

Ownership and short interest

Short interest15.48M
Short float4.2%
Days to cover3.2
Change since previous settlement−6.8%
Settlement date30 Oct 2026
Short-sale volume, 21d (ours)p44 in sector

Short interest as reported twice monthly by FINRA; short-sale volume percentile from our own features.

Insider transactions · SEC Form 4

DateInsiderTypePriceSharesValue
2 Nov 2026Tang Stanley DirectorSale$190.0210,071$1.91M
2 Nov 2026Tang Stanley DirectorSale$188.965,661$1.07M
2 Nov 2026Fang Andy DirectorSale$181.175,000$905.85K
2 Nov 2026Tang Stanley DirectorSale$188.264,493$845.85K
2 Nov 2026Tang Stanley DirectorSale$185.701,000$185.70K
2 Nov 2026Tang Stanley DirectorSale$186.56500$93.28K
2 Nov 2026Tang Stanley DirectorSale$181.61500$90.81K
2 Nov 2026Tang Stanley DirectorSale$182.52300$54.76K

Related studies

What the measured data says about the signals on this page.

Forecast record on DASH

40% of 283 matured 21-session forecasts on DoorDash called the direction correctly.

−30%−3%−15%−1.5%0%0%+15%+1.5%+30%+3%Published 21-session view →↑ What followed
CalledMissedEach square is one matured forecast: the view published that day against what followed.

Against the base rate

DASH, 21 sessions39.6%n 283 matured
Every name52.3%n 374,970 · 2 Sep 2025 to 15 Oct 2026
Belief in the highest decile51.3%n 37,318 matured
… and 5+ voices agree51.2%n 36,828 matured · DASH sits in decile 8 today

Tick = 52.3% base rate, every name. How every forecast is tested

Peers

Same industry first, then the sector. Readings, valuation, return and short interest side by side.

−2%−40%−1%−7%0%+25%+1%+58%+2%+90%Gap to intrinsic value →↑ 21-session viewAMZNAPTVAZOBBYBKNG
CompanyCloseMkt capP/E1YGap to intrinsic value21-session viewModel view, next monthShort float
DASH DoorDash$171.51$75.52B75.6−12.7%—+2.39%positive4.2%
ABNB Airbnb$186.78$111.51B32.4+53.5%—+0.94%positive3.1%
AMZN Amazon$266.66$2.88T20.1+9.2%−29.7%+1.11%positive1%
APTV Aptiv$38.75$7.84B11.9−53.2%+71.9%+1.99%positive5.1%
AZO AutoZone$3,259.70$52.46B19.4−14%+35.4%+0.75%positive3.3%
BBY Best Buy$104.07$21.83B14.4+39.6%+53.9%−0.64%negative8.2%
BKNG Booking Holdings$159.58$118.68B13.3−22.4%+46.8%+1.49%positive2.1%
CCL Carnival$29.23$39.30B—+9.5%—+0.44%positive—
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill$35.28$44.63B29.9+12.6%—+0.15%positive3.6%

Questions about DASH

What is the intrinsic value of DoorDash stock?

The model has no intrinsic value for DASH today; the page shows the other sources.

What is the DASH stock forecast?

The published 21-session view for DASH is +2.39%, with a band from −21.3% to +26.1% and a 63% chance of a rise; over 63 sessions it is +1.42%. These are expected returns from the platform's machine-learning models, re-estimated every trading day.

How accurate have the forecasts for DASH been?

40% of 283 matured 21-session forecasts on DoorDash called the direction correctly. Every forecast is published before its outcome is known and scored when it matures.

Is this investment advice?

No. It is a dated model reading of one company, published for research. Nothing on this page is a recommendation about any security.