S&P 500 comparison · Materials

CF Industries vs FMC Corporation

Prices at close . Model readings .

CF Industries

$119.92−0.51%
Month: negativeLong run: positive

FMC Corporation

$4.47−5.1%
Month: positiveLong run: negative
Price change

Price change, with the S&P 500 as a benchmark

Percent change in each close since the start of the chosen range, for both companies and the S&P 500 (SPY). Daily closes over the last year, weekly before that and monthly before five years.

In short

How the two compare

On the latest closes (28 Oct 2026), CF Industries is the larger company by market value ($18.46B against $560.56M). Over the past year CF Industries returned +41.7% and FMC Corporation −85.1%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. The operating margin is 50.5% for CF Industries and -13.8% for FMC Corporation. Over the next 21 sessions the model expects −0.81% for CF Industries, with a 20% chance of a rise, and +0.38% for FMC Corporation, with a 59% chance. CF Industries' long-run fair value is $162.87, a gap of +35.8% to its price; the long-run model view is positive. FMC Corporation's long-run fair value is $3.30, a gap of −26.1% to its price; the long-run model view is negative.

Model view

What the model expects

Expected returns and the chance of a rise from our forecasting models, and the long-run fair value against the price. Readings, not advice.

Model readings:
Expected returnnext 21 sessions
CF−0.81%
FMC+0.38%
Chance of a risenext 21 sessions
CF20%
FMC59%
Expected returnnext 63 sessions
CF+1.3%
FMC+6.1%
Range of outcomes63 sessions, 80% band
CF−21.3% to +23.9%
FMC−41.6% to +53.8%
Chance of a risenext 63 sessionsMembers only · see plans
Long-run fair valueintrinsic value model
CF$162.8728 Oct 2026
FMC$3.3028 Oct 2026
Gap to pricefair value against the close
CF+35.8%
FMC−26.1%
Past readings that matchedsign of the 21-session outcome
CF47.2%of 269
FMC43.1%of 269
Price performance

How the prices moved

Price change over each period, with the S&P 500 (SPY) for comparison.

Closes to
1 monthS&P 500: +1.1%
CF+3.6%
FMC−50.4%
6 monthsS&P 500: +8.5%
CF−4.5%
FMC−69.3%
Year to dateS&P 500: +13.3%
CF+57.3%
FMC−67.4%
1 yearS&P 500: +12.7%
CF+41.7%
FMC−85.1%
5 yearsS&P 500: +70.7%
CF+120.4%
FMC−94.4%
1 year against the S&P 500percentage points
CF+29.0 pts
FMC−97.9 pts
Position in the 52-week range0% low, 100% high
CF68%close $119.92 in $74.33 to $141.66
FMC0%close $4.47 in $4.37 to $30.15
Against the 200-day average
CF+4%
FMC−64.1%
Valuation

What the market pays

Size and the multiples from the latest filed quarter. A P/E on losses reads n/m.

Filings: quarter to
Market value
CF$18.46B28 Oct 2026
FMC$560.56M28 Oct 2026
Enterprise valueat the last filing
CF$19.22B30 Jun 2026
FMC$5.24B30 Jun 2026
P/Elatest filed
CF7.7
FMCn/mA P/E on negative earnings is not a multiple.
Price to book
CF1.87
FMC0.87
EV / EBITDA
CF5.25
FMC-3.07
Free cash flow yield
CF11.46%
FMC11.33%
Dividend yield
CF1.88%
FMC11.51%
Questions

CF Industries or FMC Corporation: common questions

Which is larger by market value, CF Industries or FMC Corporation?

CF Industries, at $18.46B against $560.56M for FMC Corporation, on the latest closes (28 Oct 2026).

Which has the higher P/E ratio, CF Industries or FMC Corporation?

CF Industries' latest filed P/E is 7.7; FMC Corporation reported losses, so its P/E is not meaningful (n/m). Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026.

How did CF Industries and FMC Corporation move over the past year against the S&P 500?

Over the past year CF Industries returned +41.7% and FMC Corporation −85.1%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

What does the model expect for CF Industries and FMC Corporation over the next month?

−0.81% for CF Industries with a 20% chance of a rise, and +0.38% for FMC Corporation with a 59% chance, over the next 21 sessions. Model readings 28 Oct 2026. These are model readings, not advice.

How do the operating margins of CF Industries and FMC Corporation compare?

The operating margin is 50.5% for CF Industries and -13.8% for FMC Corporation, and the gross margin 51.5% against 39.5%. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026.

Do CF Industries and FMC Corporation shares move together?

Over the past year the correlation of their daily returns was 0.14 (mostly independent); 1 means they always move together, 0 unrelated, −1 opposite. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

In the consoleCompare up to four companies with every model readingMembers see the 63-session chance of a rise and all four horizons, side by side in Research › Compare.
Open in the console
The two company pagesCF Industries (CF) forecast and analysisFMC Corporation (FMC) forecast and analysis
More comparisonsCF Industries vs CortevaCF Industries vs Mosaic Company (The)
BrowseAll Materials companiesAll comparisonsHow the model readings are made

Model readings are research estimates, not investment advice. Prices: daily closes. Fundamentals: the latest SEC filings. Short interest: FINRA, settlement 30 Sep 2026. A dash means the figure is not in our data; it is never shown as zero. The model view follows a published rule: next month by the sign of the expected return, the long run positive at a fair value 10% or more above the price and negative at 10% or more below it.