S&P 500 comparison · Materials

CF Industries vs Corteva

Prices at close . Model readings .

CF Industries

$119.92−0.51%
Month: negativeLong run: positive

Corteva

$11.33−2.58%
Month: positive
Price change

Price change, with the S&P 500 as a benchmark

Percent change in each close since the start of the chosen range, for both companies and the S&P 500 (SPY). Daily closes over the last year, weekly before that and monthly before five years.

Corteva's closes include a split-like jump in this range, so its line is left out.

In short

How the two compare

The latest filed P/E is 7.7 for CF Industries and 60.3 for Corteva, and the operating margin 50.5% against 22.3%. Over the next 21 sessions the model expects −0.81% for CF Industries, with a 20% chance of a rise, and +0.31% for Corteva, with a 50% chance. CF Industries' long-run fair value is $162.87, a gap of +35.8% to its price; the long-run model view is positive. Corteva has no published fair value today.

Model view

What the model expects

Expected returns and the chance of a rise from our forecasting models, and the long-run fair value against the price. Readings, not advice.

Model readings:
Expected returnnext 21 sessions
CF−0.81%
CTVA+0.31%
Chance of a risenext 21 sessions
CF20%
CTVA50%
Expected returnnext 63 sessions
CF+1.3%
CTVA+6.08%
Range of outcomes63 sessions, 80% band
CF−21.3% to +23.9%
CTVA−63.7% to +75.9%
Chance of a risenext 63 sessionsMembers only · see plans
Long-run fair valueintrinsic value model
CF$162.8728 Oct 2026
CTVA—The model's fair value falls outside its own interval or at the gap clamp, so it is not a measurement.
Gap to pricefair value against the close
CF+35.8%
CTVA—The model's fair value falls outside its own interval or at the gap clamp, so it is not a measurement.
Past readings that matchedsign of the 21-session outcome
CF47.2%of 269
CTVA62.1%of 269
Price performance

How the prices moved

Price change over each period, with the S&P 500 (SPY) for comparison.

Closes to
1 monthS&P 500: +1.1%
CF+3.6%
CTVA—Not measured today.
6 monthsS&P 500: +8.5%
CF−4.5%
CTVA—Not measured today.
Year to dateS&P 500: +13.3%
CF+57.3%
CTVA—Not measured today.
1 yearS&P 500: +12.7%
CF+41.7%
CTVA—Not measured today.
5 yearsS&P 500: +70.7%
CF+120.4%
CTVA—Not measured today.
1 year against the S&P 500percentage points
CF+29.0 pts
CTVA—Not measured today.
Position in the 52-week range0% low, 100% high
CF68%close $119.92 in $74.33 to $141.66
CTVA—Not measured today.
Against the 200-day average
CF+4%
CTVA—Not measured today.
Valuation

What the market pays

Size and the multiples from the latest filed quarter. A P/E on losses reads n/m.

Filings: quarter to
Market value
CF$18.46B28 Oct 2026
CTVA—Not measured today.
Enterprise valueat the last filing
CF$19.22B30 Jun 2026
CTVA$59.24B30 Jun 2026
P/Elatest filed
CF7.7
CTVA60.3
Price to book
CF1.87
CTVA2.23
EV / EBITDA
CF5.25
CTVA18.36
Free cash flow yield
CF11.46%
CTVA1.11%
Dividend yield
CF1.88%
CTVA0.85%
Questions

CF Industries or Corteva: common questions

Which has the higher P/E ratio, CF Industries or Corteva?

Corteva has the higher latest filed P/E, 60.3; CF Industries' is 7.7. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026.

What does the model expect for CF Industries and Corteva over the next month?

−0.81% for CF Industries with a 20% chance of a rise, and +0.31% for Corteva with a 50% chance, over the next 21 sessions. Model readings 28 Oct 2026. These are model readings, not advice.

How do the operating margins of CF Industries and Corteva compare?

The operating margin is 50.5% for CF Industries and 22.3% for Corteva, and the gross margin 51.5% against 57.4%. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026.

In the consoleCompare up to four companies with every model readingMembers see the 63-session chance of a rise and all four horizons, side by side in Research › Compare.
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The two company pagesCF Industries (CF) forecast and analysisCorteva (CTVA) forecast and analysis
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BrowseAll Materials companiesAll comparisonsHow the model readings are made

Model readings are research estimates, not investment advice. Prices: daily closes. Fundamentals: the latest SEC filings. Short interest: FINRA, settlement 30 Sep 2026. A dash means the figure is not in our data; it is never shown as zero. The model view follows a published rule: next month by the sign of the expected return, the long run positive at a fair value 10% or more above the price and negative at 10% or more below it.