All weeks

Week 21, 2026

Before the guard

May 18, 2026 to May 26, 2026

Basket return
-6.50%
Equal
Conviction
-6.55%
Kelly
-5.24%
Cumulative
+29.15%

The same picks, sized three ways · Raw predictive selection — weekly top-10 long and short, rebalanced Monday, closed Friday. The three baskets hold the same picks and differ only in how they size a position.

The names

SymbolSideSectorEntryExitReturnWeight
APDShortMaterials293.31289.6+1.26%10.00%
ALBShortMaterials175.74174.69+0.60%10.00%
BVNShortMaterials34.0135.09-3.18%10.00%
EMNShortMaterials70.9474.39-4.86%10.00%
CMCShortMaterials70.0773.73-5.22%10.00%
REZIShortIndustrials28.2529.92-5.91%10.00%
FCXShortMaterials60.564.36-6.38%10.00%
STLDShortMaterials228.58250.49-9.59%10.00%
AEISShortIndustrials309.06339.65-9.90%10.00%
CENXShortMaterials54.9266.88-21.78%10.00%

Full disclosure

Full disclosure: 13 of this track's 34 rebalance weeks selected alphabetically rather than by rank — a degenerate selection our own monitoring caught, and a guard in the engine now prevents. Remove those weeks and the same basket returns +10.61% over that window, against the index's +20.98%. We publish the whole record, the defect included.