All weeks
Week 5, 2026
Before the guardJan 26, 2026 to Feb 2, 2026
Basket return
+1.37%
Equal
Conviction
+2.41%
Kelly
-1.58%
Cumulative
+8.82%
The same picks, sized three ways · Raw predictive selection — weekly top-10 long and short, rebalanced Monday, closed Friday. The three baskets hold the same picks and differ only in how they size a position.
The names
| Symbol | Side | Sector | Entry | Exit | Return | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAOI | Long | Information Technology | 34.89 | 44.16 | +26.57% | 10.00% |
| ABNB | Short | Consumer Discretionary | 133.39 | 131.31 | +1.56% | 10.00% |
| AA | Short | Materials | 58.55 | 58.21 | +0.58% | 10.00% |
| A | Short | Health Care | 135.65 | 135.39 | +0.19% | 10.00% |
| ABT | Short | Health Care | 108.77 | 109.41 | -0.59% | 10.00% |
| ABCB | Long | Financials | 80.4 | 79.89 | -0.63% | 10.00% |
| ABBV | Short | Health Care | 220.77 | 225.64 | -2.21% | 10.00% |
| AAP | Short | Consumer Discretionary | 47.54 | 48.71 | -2.46% | 10.00% |
| AAON | Long | Industrials | 93.47 | 90.08 | -3.63% | 10.00% |
| AAPL | Short | Consumer Discretionary | 255.41 | 270.01 | -5.72% | 10.00% |
Full disclosure
Full disclosure: 13 of this track's 34 rebalance weeks selected alphabetically rather than by rank — a degenerate selection our own monitoring caught, and a guard in the engine now prevents. Remove those weeks and the same basket returns +10.61% over that window, against the index's +20.98%. We publish the whole record, the defect included.