NASDAQ · Information Technology · Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals · USD

SNDK Sandisk

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885.01−52.45 (−5.59%)
At close · Friday, 13 November 2026

Key facts

  • Sandisk (SNDK) closed at $885.01 on .
  • On , the model view for the next month was positive: an expected return of +4.51% over 21 sessions, with a 83% chance of a rise.
  • On , the model’s intrinsic value was $2,161.54, a gap of +144.2% to that day’s price, so the long-term model view was positive.
  • On , the market regime read strong risk-off.
  • At the settlement, short interest in SNDK was 3.3% of the float, 1.0 days to cover.
  • On , the close sat inside a 52-week range of $183.00 to $2,354.39.
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Overlay
1Y +212.61% · from $283.10 to $885.01
Nov 25Feb 26May 26Aug 26Nov 26Intrinsic value2,161.54sessions ahead →211,264.691,761.31283.10885.01
Previous close937.46
Open915.86
Day’s range848.50 – 939.53
52-week range183.00 – 2,354.39
Volume12,170,100
Avg. volume, 3 months10,540,154
Market cap$125.93B
Beta (5Y weekly)—
P/E ratio (TTM)13.84
EPS (TTM)124.30
Dividend yield0%
Intrinsic value2,161.54
Gap to intrinsic value+144.2%
21-session view+4.51%
Chance of rising, 21 sessions83%
Market regimeStrong risk-off

Closing figures, not live. Intrinsic value, forecasts and regime are the platform’s own models.

Opulence Alpha’s viewDaily note · after the close, Friday, 13 November 2026

Deep value. Model view: positive for the next month, positive for the long term

Model view
Next monthPositive+4.51% expected · 83 in 100 chance of rising
Next 3 monthsPositive+7.51% expected · band −6.5% to +21.5%
Long termPositiveIntrinsic value $2,161.54, 144% above the close
ConfidenceHigh71% of 283 past one-month calls right, against 52.3% across every name

The view

Sandisk closed at $885.01 on 13 November 2026; the model’s intrinsic value is $2,161.54, a gap of +144.2%. The published 21-session view is +4.51%, inside a band from −4.2% to +13.2%, with a 83% chance of a rise. Over 63 sessions it is +7.51%.

Next month: why the model view is positive

Short-sale volume in SNDK sits at percentile 26 of its sector, lower than most peers. The market regime reads strong risk-off. Revenue growth is +378% a year. Across 200 past situations like today's in US stocks since 1995, the median move over the next 21 sessions was +2.5%, and 69% of them rose.

Next 3 months: model view positive

The published 63-session view is +7.51%, inside a band from −6.5% to +21.5%. Over the next 63 sessions the same past situations moved a median +2.6%, and 63% of them rose.

The long term

The Intrinsic Value model puts intrinsic value at $2,161.54, a gap of +144.2% to the close. Price to book is 13.50. Return on equity is 141.2%. Operating cash flow is $17.55B a year. The price is 383.6% above its 52-week low. A year on, the past situations most like today's had moved a median +7.9%, and 67% of them rose.

How sure we are

On SNDK, 71% of 283 matured one-month calls got the direction right, against 52.3% across every name. We update this note after every close.

Sentences filled by rule from the day’s figures. A dated model reading, not investment advice. How the model view is set: next month and next 3 months follow the sign of the model’s expected return over 21 and 63 sessions, positive above zero and negative below; long term reads positive at an intrinsic value gap of +10% or more, negative at −10% or less, neutral between. Confidence comes from this name’s own record of one-month calls: low under 50% right or with fewer than 60 matured, medium from 50% to 55%, high above 55%. A rule, not advice.

The evidence behind the view

Readings that point for or against the stock. The bar is how far each sits from the middle of its sector (or from even odds, for the forecast).

Against the stock · 2Distance
Trend, 63 sessionsReturn percentile 3 in the sector
Insider trades, 30 daysNet insider value at percentile 37 in the sector
For the stock · 3Distance
ValuationIntrinsic value $2,161.54 · gap +144.2% · percentile 94 in the sector
Forecast, next month+4.51% · 83 in 100 chance of rising
Short sellingShort-sale volume at percentile 26 in the sector

The forecast

Expected return and the model’s band, per horizon. The 21-session view is public in full, the 63-session view without its chance of rising.

ExpectedBand
Horizon−40%0+40%ExpectedChance of rising
1 session••••Members
5 sessions••••Members
21 sessions+4.51%83 in 100
63 sessions+7.51%Members
Unlock the 1- and 5-session forecasts and the 63-session chance of rising, all 2 model voices, the exit map and alerts when this view changes.
Five sources2 of 5 back the view
ValuationSupportsGap to intrinsic value +144.2% · rule ±10%Members
RegimeSupports79% regime equity weight · rule 75% / 40%Members
TechnicalsMembers
FundamentalsMembers
Analyst coverageMembers

Model voices · 2 of 2 shown

Valuation momentumweight 63%+5.15%Relative valuationweight 37%+5.95%
234 features · computed after every close

Feature fingerprint

Each family’s percentile in Information Technology · S&P 500 percentile beneath · 13 Nov 2026

What pushed the 21-session view

Contribution of each feature family to SNDK’s +4.51%, against the market’s +1.2%. Two shown in full.

Sector-relative+0.33%
Momentum+0.2%
Liquidity
Sentiment
Flows
Crowding
Volatility
Other 4 families

What moved in the data today

Features whose S&P 500 percentile moved furthest since the previous reading, in percentile points.

Return 2d Momentump99 → p0−99
Gapless return 1d Momentump99 → p3−96
Distance from 5d mean Momentump94 → p5−89
Close vs high Momentump3 → p68+65
Gap filled Momentump24 → p79+55
Return zscore 21 Volatilityp59 → p14−45
Xsec ig breadth Sector-relativep49 → p6−43

Feature explorer

Value, percentile in the sector and in the S&P 500, change since the last reading, and whether the feature has a tested record.

FeatureFamilyValueSectorOwn 5YΔ 1dTrendRecord
Momentum, 126 sessionsMomentum−37.13p12—−2Untested
Realised volatility, 63 sessionsVolatility0.914p96—0Untested
Illiquidity (Amihud), 5 daysLiquidity<0.001p8—0Faint · 23/32 yrs
Short-sale volume, 21 sessionsCrowding0.415p36—0Proven · 15/18 yrs
Net insider value, 30 daysFlows−$694.96Kp47—+3None · 11/24 yrs
Market betaMacro sensitivity1.10p47—−1None · 20/32 yrs
Relative return, 21 sessionsSector-relative−0.310p1—0Faint · 26/32 yrs
Momentum, 63 sessionsMomentum−50.47p0—−1None · 18/32 yrs
Return volatility, 21 sessionsVolatility1.28p99—0Untested
Price impact (Kyle’s lambda)Liquidity0.004p46—0None · 24/32 yrs
Days to coverCrowding0.555p0—0None · 4/6 yrs
Ownership accumulation, 90 daysFlows7.70p82—0None · 15/26 yrs
Sentiment, 20-day averageSentiment−0.011p81—0Untested
Sensitivity to the 10-year yieldMacro sensitivity2.87p92—0None · 16/32 yrs
Strength against the sectorSector-relative−7.74p50—0Untested

History like this

200 past situations across 1,764 US stocks since 1995, delisted names included, matched on seven measures of today’s reading.

Median, 21 sessions+2.5%
Share that rose69%
Low end (q10)−4.7%
High end (q90)+8.2%
RAD Mar 2016+0.5%
RAD Apr 20160%
RAD Feb 2016+2.3%
D Mar 2013+6.7%

Where SNDK ranks across the S&P 500

Each line is all 496 companies, lowest on the left. Select a row for the full ranking page.

Statistics

Prices: daily close 13 Nov 2026 · fundamentals: period ending 2 Oct 2026 · “p” = percentile among the 75 Information Technology members

Fundamentals

Key statistics

Each bar places SNDK among its sector’s companies. The grey tick marks the sector middle.

13.84×P/ESector median 26.78×
13.50×Price / bookSector median 5.62×
—EV / EBITDASector median 17.34×
+144.2%Gap to intrinsic valueFREEHigher than 94% of the sectorSector percentile 94
85%Gross marginSector median 57.7%
141.2%Return on equitySector median 12.9%
—Debt / equitySector median 0.53
2 of 9Financial healthPiotroski F-score from nine accounting tests; 9 is strongestScale 0 to 9
Market cap$125.93B
Enterprise value—
Revenue, ttm$28.97B
Net income, ttm$17.69B
EBITDA, ttm—
EPS, ttm$124.30
Book value / share$127.44
Shares outstanding142.29M
Dividend yield0%
Intrinsic valueFREE$2,161.54

Technicals

Key statistics

Where today’s close and readings sit on each scale.

33.9RSI (14)50 is balance; under 30 is oversold, over 70 overbought.Scale 0 to 100
32%In 52-week rangeLow $183.00, high $2,354.39Low to high, past year
40%In today’s rangeRange $848.50 to $939.53Low to high, 13 Nov 2026
1.15×Volume vs average12.17M shares against 10.54M on an average dayScale 0 to 2× · tick at 1×
—Beta, 5 years1.0 moves in line with the S&P 500 on averageScale 0 to 2 · tick at 1
133.7%Price swings, 21 daysAnnualised realised volatilityScale 0 to 100%
+4.51%Forecast, next monthFREEBand −4.2% to +13.2% over 21 sessionsScale −5% to +5%
83%Chance of risingFREEModel probability over the next 21 sessionsScale 0 to 100 · tick at 50
−62.1%Drawdown from highScale 0 to −100%
Prev. close$937.46
Open$915.86
Day’s range$848.50 – $939.53
52-week range$183.00 – $2,354.39
Volume12.17M
Avg. volume, 3M10.54M
1-year change+212.61%
ATR (14)$113.94

Ownership

Ownership and short interest

Short interest4.91M
Short float3.3%
Days to cover1.0
Change since previous settlement+4.4%
Settlement date30 Oct 2026
Short-sale volume, 21d (ours)p26 in sector

Short interest as reported twice monthly by FINRA; short-sale volume percentile from our own features.

Insider transactions · SEC Form 4

DateInsiderTypePriceSharesValue
2 Nov 2026Shek Bernard Chief Legal Officer and SectySale$1,158.26600$694.96K
1 Oct 2026Shek Bernard Chief Legal Officer and SectySale$1,734.94600$1.04M
17 Sep 2026Goeckeler David Chairman & CEOSale$1,569.009,604$15.07M
17 Sep 2026Goeckeler David Chairman & CEOSale$1,571.214,558$7.16M
17 Sep 2026Goeckeler David Chairman & CEOSale$1,576.824,139$6.53M
17 Sep 2026Goeckeler David Chairman & CEOSale$1,578.342,876$4.54M
17 Sep 2026Goeckeler David Chairman & CEOSale$1,575.582,778$4.38M
17 Sep 2026Goeckeler David Chairman & CEOSale$1,574.572,588$4.07M

Related studies

What the measured data says about the signals on this page.

Forecast record on SNDK

71% of 283 matured 21-session forecasts on Sandisk called the direction correctly.

−110%−5%−55%−2.5%0%0%+55%+2.5%+110%+5%Published 21-session view →↑ What followed
CalledMissedEach square is one matured forecast: the view published that day against what followed.

Against the base rate

SNDK, 21 sessions70.7%n 283 matured
Every name52.3%n 374,970 · 2 Sep 2025 to 15 Oct 2026
Belief in the highest decile51.3%n 37,318 matured
… and 5+ voices agree51.2%n 36,828 matured · SNDK sits in decile 10 today

Tick = 52.3% base rate, every name. How every forecast is tested

Peers

Same industry first, then the sector. Readings, valuation, return and short interest side by side.

−5%−100%−2.5%−5%0%+90%+2.5%+185%+5%+280%Gap to intrinsic value →↑ 21-session viewSNDKAAPLDELLHPEHPQNTAPPSMCISTX
CompanyCloseMkt capP/E1YGap to intrinsic value21-session viewModel view, next monthShort float
SNDK Sandisk$885.01$125.93B13.8+212.6%+144.2%+4.51%positive3.3%
AAPL Apple$356.27$5.18T38.0+30.6%−40.2%+0.4%positive1%
DELL Dell Technologies$344.53$220.50B23.7+147.1%−2.3%+1.69%positive3.4%
HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise$48.29$64.10B23.1+108.8%−13.3%+1.2%positive3.6%
HPQ HP$29.36$26.48B10.4+21.2%+170%+2.63%positive8.1%
NTAP NetApp$181.37$35.62B25.2+64.7%−14.7%+1.62%positive5.9%
P Everpure$107.99$35.99B107.5+21.9%−88.8%+0.49%positive2.7%
SMCI Supermicro$26.87$17.71B8.7−29.1%+262.1%+2.52%positive14.5%
STX Seagate Technology$528.29$121.27B44.5+87.5%−38.6%−0.15%negative3.7%

Questions about SNDK

What is the intrinsic value of Sandisk stock?

The Intrinsic Value model's estimate for SNDK is $2,161.54 per share against a $885.01 close on 13 November 2026, a gap of +144.2%. It is an estimate with a range, not a price target.

What is the SNDK stock forecast?

The published 21-session view for SNDK is +4.51%, with a band from −4.2% to +13.2% and a 83% chance of a rise; over 63 sessions it is +7.51%. These are expected returns from the platform's machine-learning models, re-estimated every trading day.

How accurate have the forecasts for SNDK been?

71% of 283 matured 21-session forecasts on Sandisk called the direction correctly. Every forecast is published before its outcome is known and scored when it matures.

Is this investment advice?

No. It is a dated model reading of one company, published for research. Nothing on this page is a recommendation about any security.