NASDAQ · Financials · Financial Services · USD

FISV Fiserv

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63.78+2.28 (+3.71%)
At close · Friday, 13 November 2026

Key facts

  • Fiserv (FISV) closed at $63.78 on .
  • On , the model view for the next month was positive: an expected return of +0.65% over 21 sessions, with a 25% chance of a rise.
  • On , the market regime read strong risk-off.
  • At the settlement, short interest in FISV was 4.4% of the float, 4.5 days to cover.
  • On , the close sat inside a 52-week range of $43.87 to $70.41.
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Overlay
1Y −0.93% · from $64.38 to $63.78
Nov 25Feb 26May 26Aug 26Nov 26sessions ahead →2145.5753.3969.0476.8664.3863.78
Previous close61.50
Open61.48
Day’s range61.48 – 64.01
52-week range43.87 – 70.41
Volume6,924,500
Avg. volume, 3 months6,985,288
Market cap$33.93B
Beta (5Y weekly)0.67
P/E ratio (TTM)n/m
EPS (TTM)—
Dividend yield0%
Intrinsic value—
Gap to intrinsic value—
21-session view+0.65%
Chance of rising, 21 sessions25%
Market regimeStrong risk-off

Closing figures, not live. Intrinsic value, forecasts and regime are the platform’s own models.

Opulence Alpha’s viewDaily note · after the close, Friday, 13 November 2026
Model view
Next monthPositive+0.65% expected · 25 in 100 chance of rising
Next 3 monthsNegative−1.65% expected · band −28.2% to +24.9%
Long term——
ConfidenceLow44% of 283 past one-month calls right, against 52.3% across every name

The view

Fiserv closed at $63.78 on 13 November 2026, with the share price change over the past year at −0.9%, the close +17.1% from its 200-day average and 45.4% above its 52-week low. No intrinsic value reading is published for the name today, so the price cannot be set against that model. The market regime reads strong risk-off. The 21-session view leans up, at +0.65% with a probability of a rise of 25%. The 63-session view leans slightly down, at −1.65%.

Next month: why the model view is positive

The published 21-session view leans up, at +0.65% with a probability of a rise of 25%, inside a band from −21.1% to +22.4%. The strongest support is trend: momentum sits in the upper quarter of the S&P 500, strength against its sector is high, and accumulation-distribution momentum and price autocorrelation are the highest of the company's last five years. The 200 past situations like today's are history, not a forecast. Over the next 21 sessions their median return was +1.4% and 58% of them rose, a record that agrees with the mild upward lean.

Next 3 months: model view negative

The 63-session view leans slightly down, at −1.65%, with a band from −28.2% to +24.9%, so it points the other way from the 21-session view. The longer reading appears to give more weight to weak fundamentals: the quality family sits near the bottom of the S&P 500, and the profitability and quality composites are the lowest of the company's own five years, while the market regime reads strong risk-off. Momentum can carry a stock for weeks while weak profitability tends to weigh over longer spans. The history disagrees with the lean: past situations like today's had a median return of +1.6% over the next 63 sessions, and 55% rose.

The long term

The long-term case is split. No intrinsic value reading is available today. The earnings multiple of -6.14 is negative because of losses, sitting at percentile 6 in the sector, while the price-to-book of 1.14 and a value family near the top of the S&P 500 point to a low valuation on assets. Against that, return on equity is -17%, debt to equity of 1.28 sits at percentile 70 in the sector, the Piotroski score is 3, and revenue growth is −1.3%. Operating cash flow of $5.04B remains a real support. Past situations like today's had a median return of +32% over the following year, and 79% rose, a history that leans on value rather than quality.

How sure we are

Each horizon deserves limited weight. This name's matured 21-session forecasts matched the direction 44% of the time across 283 readings, below the base rate of about half, so the model's record on Fiserv is weak. The history rests on 200 past situations matched on seven measures, not on the 561 features of the fingerprint. The bands are wide: −21.1% to +22.4% over 21 sessions and −28.2% to +24.9% over 63 sessions, so either published lean is small against the spread of outcomes.

Written by our research agent from 561 features and the model forecasts. A dated model reading, not investment advice. How the model view is set: next month and next 3 months follow the sign of the model’s expected return over 21 and 63 sessions, positive above zero and negative below; long term reads positive at an intrinsic value gap of +10% or more, negative at −10% or less, neutral between. Confidence comes from this name’s own record of one-month calls: low under 50% right or with fewer than 60 matured, medium from 50% to 55%, high above 55%. A rule, not advice.

The evidence behind the view

Readings that point for or against the stock. The bar is how far each sits from the middle of its sector (or from even odds, for the forecast).

Against the stock · 3Distance
Return on equity-17% · percentile 1 in the sector
Revenue growth−1.3% a year · percentile 12 in the sector
DebtDebt / equity 1.28 · percentile 87 in the sector
For the stock · 3Distance
Trend, 63 sessionsReturn percentile 97 in the sector
Short sellingShort-sale volume at percentile 18 in the sector
Forecast, next month+0.65% · 25 in 100 chance of rising

The forecast

Expected return and the model’s band, per horizon. The 21-session view is public in full, the 63-session view without its chance of rising.

ExpectedBand
Horizon−40%0+40%ExpectedChance of rising
1 session••••Members
5 sessions••••Members
21 sessions+0.65%25 in 100
63 sessions−1.65%Members
Unlock the 1- and 5-session forecasts and the 63-session chance of rising, all 6 model voices, the exit map and alerts when this view changes.
Five sources2 of 4 back the view
ValuationNo reading—Members
RegimeSupports79% regime equity weight · rule 75% / 40%Members
TechnicalsMembers
FundamentalsMembers
Analyst coverageMembers

Model voices · 2 of 6 shown

Quantile modelweight 43%+0.07%Model bundleweight 22%−0.06%
561 features · computed after every close

Feature fingerprint

Each family’s percentile in Financials · S&P 500 percentile beneath · 13 Nov 2026

What pushed the 21-session view

Contribution of each feature family to FISV’s +0.65%, against the market’s +1.2%. Two shown in full.

Sector-relative−0.27%
Momentum−0.16%
Value
Liquidity
Sentiment
Macro sensitivity
Quality
Other 4 families

What moved in the data today

Features whose S&P 500 percentile moved furthest since the previous reading, in percentile points.

Gapless return 1d Momentump1 → p100+99
Xs sector momentum rank 1d Sector-relativep3 → p99+96
Return 1d Momentump5 → p99+94
Xs ret zscore 1d Sector-relativep5 → p99+94
Close to close acceleration Momentump11 → p99+88
Return zscore 21 Volatilityp3 → p88+85
Distance from 5d mean Momentump7 → p76+69

Feature explorer

Value, percentile in the sector and in the S&P 500, change since the last reading, and whether the feature has a tested record.

FeatureFamilyValueSectorOwn 5YΔ 1dTrendRecord
Momentum, 126 sessionsMomentum15.27p59p77−3Untested
Value compositeValue0.807p91p950Untested
Quality compositeQuality0.139p2p00Untested
Realised volatility, 63 sessionsVolatility0.428p91p860Untested
Illiquidity (Amihud), 5 daysLiquidity<0.001p49p32+23Faint · 23/32 yrs
Short-sale volume, 21 sessionsCrowding0.446p28p51−3Proven · 15/18 yrs
Net insider value, 30 daysFlows$0.00p75p89+1None · 11/24 yrs
Sentiment scoreSentiment−0.112p21p11+1Untested
Market betaMacro sensitivity1.11p51p830None · 20/32 yrs
Relative return, 21 sessionsSector-relative0.301p100p100+1Faint · 26/32 yrs
Momentum, 63 sessionsMomentum22.16p99p96+9None · 18/32 yrs
Profitability compositeQuality0.026p0p00Untested
Return volatility, 21 sessionsVolatility0.565p93p94+1Untested
Price impact (Kyle’s lambda)Liquidity0.003p28p310None · 24/32 yrs
Days to coverCrowding4.51p73p990None · 4/6 yrs

History like this

200 past situations across 1,764 US stocks since 1995, delisted names included, matched on seven measures of today’s reading.

Median, 21 sessions+1.4%
Share that rose58%
Low end (q10)−10.6%
High end (q90)+16.2%
DXC Aug 2012+10.7%
XRAY Jul 2026−22.3%
MTZ Mar 2016+11.1%
VSEC Nov 2016+0.3%

Where FISV ranks across the S&P 500

Each line is all 496 companies, lowest on the left. Select a row for the full ranking page.

Statistics

Prices: daily close 13 Nov 2026 · fundamentals: period ending 30 Sep 2026 · “p” = percentile among the 76 Financials members

Fundamentals

Key statistics

Each bar places FISV among its sector’s companies. The grey tick marks the sector middle.

n/mP/E
1.14×Price / bookLower than 89% of the sectorSector percentile 11
—EV / EBITDASector median 13.10×
—Gap to intrinsic valueFREE
—Gross marginSector median 42.6%
-17%Return on equityLower than 99% of the sectorSector percentile 1
1.28Debt / equityHigher than 87% of the sectorSector percentile 87
3 of 9Financial healthPiotroski F-score from nine accounting tests; 9 is strongestScale 0 to 9
Market cap$33.93B
Enterprise value$50.58B
Revenue, ttm$20.80B
Net income, ttm—
EBITDA, ttm—
EPS, ttm—
Book value / share$39.58
Shares outstanding532.05M
Dividend yield0%
Intrinsic valueFREE—

Technicals

Key statistics

Where today’s close and readings sit on each scale.

74.8RSI (14)50 is balance; under 30 is oversold, over 70 overbought.Scale 0 to 100
75%In 52-week rangeLow $43.87, high $70.41Low to high, past year
91%In today’s rangeRange $61.48 to $64.01Low to high, 13 Nov 2026
0.99×Volume vs average6.92M shares against 6.99M on an average dayScale 0 to 2× · tick at 1×
0.67Beta, 5 years1.0 moves in line with the S&P 500 on averageScale 0 to 2 · tick at 1
54.5%Price swings, 21 daysAnnualised realised volatilityScale 0 to 100%
+0.65%Forecast, next monthFREEBand −21.1% to +22.4% over 21 sessionsScale −5% to +5%
25%Chance of risingFREEModel probability over the next 21 sessionsScale 0 to 100 · tick at 50
−8.7%Drawdown from highDeepest fall in 5 years: −81.3%Scale 0 to −100%
Prev. close$61.50
Open$61.48
Day’s range$61.48 – $64.01
52-week range$43.87 – $70.41
Volume6.92M
Avg. volume, 3M6.99M
1-year change−0.93%
ATR (14)$2.45

Ownership

Ownership and short interest

Short interest24.19M
Short float4.4%
Days to cover4.5
Change since previous settlement−14.6%
Settlement date30 Oct 2026
Short-sale volume, 21d (ours)p18 in sector

Short interest as reported twice monthly by FINRA; short-sale volume percentile from our own features.

Insider transactions · SEC Form 4

DateInsiderTypePriceSharesValue
7 Aug 2026FRITZ LANCE M DirectorPurchase$51.9510,000$519.50K
17 Jun 2026Todd Paul M Chief Financial OfficerPurchase$49.7010,060$499.98K
17 Jun 2026Mamilli Wafaa DirectorPurchase$50.592,960$149.75K
16 Jun 2026Rosman Adam L. Chief Admin. and Legal OfficerPurchase$49.3310,150$500.70K
16 Jun 2026Nixon Gordon M. DirectorPurchase$49.577,500$371.78K
16 Jun 2026DiSimone Harry DirectorPurchase$48.412,088$101.08K
16 Jun 2026Yarkoni Charlotte DirectorPurchase$49.492,023$100.12K
2 Dec 2025Rosman Adam L. Chief Admin. and Legal OfficerPurchase$63.197,900$499.20K

Related studies

What the measured data says about the signals on this page.

Forecast record on FISV

44% of 283 matured 21-session forecasts on Fiserv called the direction correctly.

−50%−5%−25%−2.5%0%0%+25%+2.5%+50%+5%Published 21-session view →↑ What followed
CalledMissedEach square is one matured forecast: the view published that day against what followed.

Against the base rate

FISV, 21 sessions43.8%n 283 matured
Every name52.3%n 374,970 · 2 Sep 2025 to 15 Oct 2026
Belief in the highest decile51.3%n 37,318 matured
… and 5+ voices agree51.2%n 36,828 matured · FISV sits in decile 4 today

Tick = 52.3% base rate, every name. How every forecast is tested

Peers

Same industry first, then the sector. Readings, valuation, return and short interest side by side.

−3.5%−70%−1.7%+23%0%+115%+1.8%+208%+3.5%+300%Gap to intrinsic value →↑ 21-session viewCPAYFISGPNJKHYMAPYPLV
CompanyCloseMkt capP/E1YGap to intrinsic value21-session viewModel view, next monthShort float
FISV Fiserv$63.78$33.93Bn/m−0.9%—+0.65%positive4.4%
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway$592.94——+18%—+1.41%positive—
CPAY Corpay$462.22$30.35B20.3+61.2%+15.9%+0.41%positive5.2%
FIS Fidelity National Information Services$29.54$15.23B4.9−54.2%+289.7%+3.36%positive4%
GPN Global Payments$91.90$24.32Bn/m+20%+16.1%+3.34%positive5.9%
JKHY Jack Henry & Associates$177.67$12.37B19.7+7.5%−7.8%+0.29%positive6.5%
MA Mastercard$661.19$579.20B28.9+18.4%−36.4%+0.38%positive0.8%
PYPL PayPal$59.28$49.24B10.0−11%+105.7%+0.85%positive3%
V Visa$425.76$785.95B—+26.4%−51.3%+0.57%positive1.2%

Questions about FISV

What is the intrinsic value of Fiserv stock?

The model has no intrinsic value for FISV today; the page shows the other sources.

What is the FISV stock forecast?

The published 21-session view for FISV is +0.65%, with a band from −21.1% to +22.4% and a 25% chance of a rise; over 63 sessions it is −1.65%. These are expected returns from the platform's machine-learning models, re-estimated every trading day.

How accurate have the forecasts for FISV been?

44% of 283 matured 21-session forecasts on Fiserv called the direction correctly. Every forecast is published before its outcome is known and scored when it matures.

Is this investment advice?

No. It is a dated model reading of one company, published for research. Nothing on this page is a recommendation about any security.