NYSE · Materials · Construction Materials · USD

CRH CRH

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93.16−0.76 (−0.81%)
At close · Friday, 13 November 2026

Key facts

  • CRH (CRH) closed at $93.16 on .
  • On , the model view for the next month was positive: an expected return of +0.55% over 21 sessions, with a 49% chance of a rise.
  • On , the model’s intrinsic value was $85.31, a gap of −8.4% to that day’s price, so the long-term model view was neutral.
  • On , the market regime read strong risk-off.
  • At the settlement, short interest in CRH was 2.1% of the float, 2.6 days to cover.
  • On , the close sat inside a 52-week range of $78.62 to $130.09.
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Overlay
1Y −16.93% · from $112.14 to $93.16
Nov 25Feb 26May 26Aug 26Nov 26Intrinsic value85.31sessions ahead →2180.17104.12116.09128.07112.1493.16
Previous close93.92
Open94.28
Day’s range92.79 – 94.28
52-week range78.62 – 130.09
Volume3,542,600
Avg. volume, 3 months5,240,203
Market cap$61.97B
Beta (5Y weekly)1.08
P/E ratio (TTM)15.61
EPS (TTM)5.30
Dividend yield0%
Intrinsic value85.31
Gap to intrinsic value−8.4%
21-session view+0.55%
Chance of rising, 21 sessions49%
Market regimeStrong risk-off

Closing figures, not live. Intrinsic value, forecasts and regime are the platform’s own models.

Opulence Alpha’s viewDaily note · after the close, Friday, 13 November 2026

Near intrinsic value. Model view: positive for the next month, neutral for the long term

Model view
Next monthPositive+0.55% expected · 49 in 100 chance of rising
Next 3 monthsPositive+0.32% expected · band −24.1% to +24.8%
Long termNeutralIntrinsic value $85.31, 8% below the close
ConfidenceHigh57% of 283 past one-month calls right, against 52.3% across every name

The view

CRH closed at $93.16 on 13 November 2026, with the share price at −16.9% over the past year and the close at −8.9% from its 200-day average. The Intrinsic Value model puts the company at $85.31 per share, a gap of −8.4%, so intrinsic value sits below the price. The published 21-session view is +0.55%, a slight lean up. The published 63-session view is +0.32%, also a slight lean up. Both readings come in a strong risk-off market regime.

Next month: why the model view is positive

The published 21-session view leans up only barely, at +0.55%, and the probability of a rise is 49%, below even odds. The small positive mean likely reflects a band skewed to the upside, from −15.9% to +17%, rather than a broad expectation of gains. The supporting facts are light short selling, at percentile 19 in the sector, and chart-pattern measures at the highest of the company's own five years. Against them stands the strong risk-off regime. Across 200 past situations like today's, the median move over the next 21 sessions was +1.5% and 56% of them rose. That history leans a little more positive than the published view, but it is history, not a forecast.

Next 3 months: model view positive

The published 63-session view is +0.32%, a modest lean up inside a wide band from −24.1% to +24.8%. It points the same way as the 21-session view, so the two horizons do not conflict here. The facts behind it are a price at −8.9% from its 200-day average yet 18.5% above its 52-week low, which reads as a partial recovery. High filing sentiment and a macro sensitivity reading that is high against other large companies sit alongside it. The past situations like today's had a median 63-session return of +3.1%, and 58% of them rose. That history agrees with the lean and is somewhat firmer than the published figure.

The long term

The long-term case is mixed. Intrinsic value of $85.31 sits below the price, a gap of −8.4%, which weighs against it. The earnings multiple of 15.61 is at percentile 41 in the sector, a little below the middle, and price to book is 2.20. Return on equity of 14.8% is solid. Debt to equity of 0.75 is at percentile 52, mid-sector. A Piotroski score of 6 and operating cash flow of $5.19B point to sound finances, while revenue growth of +3% is modest. Past situations like today's showed a median one-year return of +13.6%, with 70% rising. That history is supportive, while intrinsic value is the main counterweight.

How sure we are

The record on CRH gives the 21-session view some weight. 57% of 283 matured forecasts matched the direction, a little better than the base rate of about half across all names. The history rests on 200 past situations, matched on seven measures rather than the 641 features computed today. The bands are wide, from −15.9% to +17% over 21 sessions and from −24.1% to +24.8% over 63 sessions, and both published means are small against them. That makes each lean a weak, dated reading rather than a firm call.

Written by our research agent from 641 features and the model forecasts. A dated model reading, not investment advice. How the model view is set: next month and next 3 months follow the sign of the model’s expected return over 21 and 63 sessions, positive above zero and negative below; long term reads positive at an intrinsic value gap of +10% or more, negative at −10% or less, neutral between. Confidence comes from this name’s own record of one-month calls: low under 50% right or with fewer than 60 matured, medium from 50% to 55%, high above 55%. A rule, not advice.

The evidence behind the view

Readings that point for or against the stock. The bar is how far each sits from the middle of its sector (or from even odds, for the forecast).

Against the stock · 4Distance
Revenue growth+3% a year · percentile 22 in the sector
ValuationIntrinsic value $85.31 · gap −8.4% · percentile 44 in the sector
Return on equity14.8% · percentile 48 in the sector
DebtDebt / equity 0.75 · percentile 52 in the sector
For the stock · 5Distance
Insider trades, 30 daysNet insider value at percentile 97 in the sector
Short sellingShort-sale volume at percentile 19 in the sector
Earnings multipleP/E 15.61 · percentile 41 in the sector
Trend, 63 sessionsReturn percentile 57 in the sector
Forecast, next month+0.55% · 49 in 100 chance of rising

The forecast

Expected return and the model’s band, per horizon. The 21-session view is public in full, the 63-session view without its chance of rising.

ExpectedBand
Horizon−40%0+40%ExpectedChance of rising
1 session••••Members
5 sessions••••Members
21 sessions+0.55%49 in 100
63 sessions+0.32%Members
Unlock the 1- and 5-session forecasts and the 63-session chance of rising, all 8 model voices, the exit map and alerts when this view changes.
Five sources2 of 5 back the view
ValuationMixedGap to intrinsic value −8.4% · rule ±10%Members
RegimeSupports79% regime equity weight · rule 75% / 40%Members
TechnicalsMembers
FundamentalsMembers
Analyst coverageMembers

Model voices · 2 of 8 shown

Model bundleweight 28%0%Relative valuationweight 21%−5.69%
641 features · computed after every close

Feature fingerprint

Each family’s percentile in Materials · S&P 500 percentile beneath · 13 Nov 2026

What pushed the 21-session view

Contribution of each feature family to CRH’s +0.55%, against the market’s +1.2%. Two shown in full.

Macro sensitivity−0.12%
Momentum+0.11%
Sector-relative
Sentiment
Flows
Value
Liquidity
Other 4 families

What moved in the data on 10 Nov

Features whose move on that session was furthest from their own normal, in standard deviations of their last 30 sessions’ moves.

Upward patterns Patterns1.00 → 0.000−3.1σ
Sentiment score Sentiment−0.018 → 0.009+2.2σ
Pattern confidence Patterns0.368 → 0.370+0.0σ

Feature explorer

Value, percentile in the sector and in the S&P 500, change since the last reading, and whether the feature has a tested record.

FeatureFamilyValueSectorOwn 5YΔ 1dTrendRecord
Momentum, 126 sessionsMomentum−9.74p13p21+3Untested
Value compositeValue0.647p70p690Untested
Quality compositeQuality0.421p43p00Untested
Realised volatility, 63 sessionsVolatility0.332p65p650Untested
Illiquidity (Amihud), 5 daysLiquidity<0.001p26p43+6Faint · 23/32 yrs
Short-sale volume, 21 sessionsCrowding0.428p13p46+5Proven · 15/18 yrs
Net insider value, 30 daysFlows$758.96Kp100p950None · 11/24 yrs
Sentiment scoreSentiment0.009p87p500Untested
Market betaMacro sensitivity1.60p78p980None · 20/32 yrs
Pattern confidencePatterns0.337p67p75−3Untested
Relative return, 21 sessionsSector-relative0.114p91p98−3Faint · 26/32 yrs
Momentum, 63 sessionsMomentum−3.01p39p37−5None · 18/32 yrs
Earnings yieldValue6.46p71p900Untested
Profitability compositeQuality0.466p39p360Untested
Return volatility, 21 sessionsVolatility0.420p70p90−1Untested

History like this

200 past situations across 1,764 US stocks since 1995, delisted names included, matched on seven measures of today’s reading.

Median, 21 sessions+1.5%
Share that rose56%
Low end (q10)−10.6%
High end (q90)+11.9%
OSK Feb 2015+1.4%
IPG Oct 2022+14.4%
HOG Mar 2016−6.1%
CNC Nov 2019+20%

Where CRH ranks across the S&P 500

Each line is all 496 companies, lowest on the left. Select a row for the full ranking page.

Statistics

Prices: daily close 13 Nov 2026 · fundamentals: period ending 30 Sep 2026 · “p” = percentile among the 24 Materials members

Fundamentals

Key statistics

Each bar places CRH among its sector’s companies. The grey tick marks the sector middle.

15.61×P/ELower than 59% of the sectorSector percentile 41
2.20×Price / bookLower than 61% of the sectorSector percentile 39
9.61×EV / EBITDALower than 85% of the sectorSector percentile 15
−8.4%Gap to intrinsic valueFREELower than 56% of the sectorSector percentile 44
38.8%Gross marginHigher than 75% of the sectorSector percentile 75
14.8%Return on equityLower than 52% of the sectorSector percentile 48
0.75Debt / equityHigher than 52% of the sectorSector percentile 52
6 of 9Financial healthPiotroski F-score from nine accounting tests; 9 is strongestScale 0 to 9
Market cap$61.97B
Enterprise value$70.62B
Revenue, ttm$38.96B
Net income, ttm$3.53B
EBITDA, ttm$7.35B
EPS, ttm$5.30
Book value / share$37.58
Shares outstanding665.23M
Dividend yield0%
Intrinsic valueFREE$85.31

Technicals

Key statistics

Where today’s close and readings sit on each scale.

54.9RSI (14)50 is balance; under 30 is oversold, over 70 overbought.Scale 0 to 100
28%In 52-week rangeLow $78.62, high $130.09Low to high, past year
25%In today’s rangeRange $92.79 to $94.28Low to high, 13 Nov 2026
0.68×Volume vs average3.54M shares against 5.24M on an average dayScale 0 to 2× · tick at 1×
1.08Beta, 5 years1.0 moves in line with the S&P 500 on averageScale 0 to 2 · tick at 1
41.4%Price swings, 21 daysAnnualised realised volatilityScale 0 to 100%
+0.55%Forecast, next monthFREEBand −15.9% to +17% over 21 sessionsScale −5% to +5%
49%Chance of risingFREEModel probability over the next 21 sessionsScale 0 to 100 · tick at 50
−28.3%Drawdown from highDeepest fall in 5 years: −39%Scale 0 to −100%
Prev. close$93.92
Open$94.28
Day’s range$92.79 – $94.28
52-week range$78.62 – $130.09
Volume3.54M
Avg. volume, 3M5.24M
1-year change−16.93%
ATR (14)$3.62

Ownership

Ownership and short interest

Short interest14.08M
Short float2.1%
Days to cover2.6
Change since previous settlement+8.1%
Settlement date30 Oct 2026
Short-sale volume, 21d (ours)p19 in sector

Short interest as reported twice monthly by FINRA; short-sale volume percentile from our own features.

Insider transactions · SEC Form 4

DateInsiderTypePriceSharesValue
6 Nov 2026FEARON RICHARD H DirectorPurchase$94.956,000$569.70K
3 Nov 2026Talbot Siobhan DirectorPurchase$94.632,000$189.26K
15 May 2026ORiordain Padraig See RemarksSale$104.451,492$155.83K
12 Mar 2026Talbot Siobhan DirectorPurchase$102.112,000$204.22K
11 Mar 2026FEARON RICHARD H DirectorPurchase$104.493,800$397.06K
12 Aug 2025Lake Randy Chief Operating OfficerSale$110.9140,000$4.44M
13 May 2025ORiordain Padraig Group General CounselPurchase$99.161,492$147.94K
3 Mar 2025Connolly Alan See RemarksSale$102.9310,680$1.10M

Related studies

What the measured data says about the signals on this page.

Forecast record on CRH

57% of 283 matured 21-session forecasts on CRH called the direction correctly.

−20%−2%−10%−1%0%0%+10%+1%+20%+2%Published 21-session view →↑ What followed
CalledMissedEach square is one matured forecast: the view published that day against what followed.

Against the base rate

CRH, 21 sessions56.5%n 283 matured
Every name52.3%n 374,970 · 2 Sep 2025 to 15 Oct 2026
Belief in the highest decile51.3%n 37,318 matured
… and 5+ voices agree51.2%n 36,828 matured · CRH sits in decile 3 today

Tick = 52.3% base rate, every name. How every forecast is tested

Peers

Same industry first, then the sector. Readings, valuation, return and short interest side by side.

−3%−100%−1.5%−35%0%+30%+1.5%+95%+3%+160%Gap to intrinsic value →↑ 21-session viewCRHMLMVMCALBAMCRAPDAVYBALLCF
CompanyCloseMkt capP/E1YGap to intrinsic value21-session viewModel view, next monthShort float
CRH CRH$93.16$61.97B15.6−16.9%−8.4%+0.55%positive2.1%
MLM Martin Marietta Materials$513.61$36.53B12.8−16.1%−19.4%+0.48%positive6.4%
VMC Vulcan Materials$278.63$35.76B29.0−5%−45.4%+0.77%positive2.9%
ALB Albemarle$93.53$11.04B23.4−14.5%−13.8%+2.73%positive10.5%
AMCR Amcor$43.80$20.25B18.2+7.3%+25.1%+1.64%positive4.9%
APD Air Products$316.53$70.49Bn/m+23.4%−89.5%+0.1%positive2.1%
AVY Avery Dennison$188.03$14.20B18.5+9.9%−4.1%+1.48%positive2.7%
BALL Ball$65.47$17.04B28.2+42.4%−26.8%−0.07%negative3.1%
CF CF Industries$125.09$18.93B8.1+50.7%+148.3%−0.23%negative5.5%

Questions about CRH

What is the intrinsic value of CRH stock?

The Intrinsic Value model's estimate for CRH is $85.31 per share against a $93.16 close on 13 November 2026, a gap of −8.4%. It is an estimate with a range, not a price target.

What is the CRH stock forecast?

The published 21-session view for CRH is +0.55%, with a band from −15.9% to +17% and a 49% chance of a rise; over 63 sessions it is +0.32%. These are expected returns from the platform's machine-learning models, re-estimated every trading day.

How accurate have the forecasts for CRH been?

57% of 283 matured 21-session forecasts on CRH called the direction correctly. Every forecast is published before its outcome is known and scored when it matures.

Is this investment advice?

No. It is a dated model reading of one company, published for research. Nothing on this page is a recommendation about any security.