Percent change in each close since the start of the chosen range, for both companies and the S&P 500 (SPY). Daily closes over the last year, weekly before that and monthly before five years.
In short
How the two compare
On the latest closes (28 Oct 2026), Target Corporation is the larger company by market value ($68.02B against $34.01B). Over the past year Dollar General returned +24.5% and Target Corporation +58.5%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. The operating margin is 9% for Dollar General and 9.7% for Target Corporation. Over the next 21 sessions the model expects −0.05% for Dollar General, with a 69% chance of a rise, and +0.66% for Target Corporation, with a 63% chance. Dollar General's long-run fair value is $115.23, a gap of −8.7% to its price; the long-run model view is neutral. Target Corporation's long-run fair value is $142.94, a gap of −4% to its price; the long-run model view is neutral.
Model view
What the model expects
Expected returns and the chance of a rise from our forecasting models, and the long-run fair value against the price. Readings, not advice.
Model readings:
MeasureDollar General · DGTarget Corporation · TGT
Expected returnnext 21 sessions
DG−0.05%
TGT+0.66%
Chance of a risenext 21 sessions
DG69%
TGT63%
Expected returnnext 63 sessions
DG−0.64%
TGT+0.55%
Range of outcomes63 sessions, 80% band
DG−24.2% to +22.9%
TGT−17.5% to +18.6%
Chance of a risenext 63 sessionsMembers only · see plans
Long-run fair valueintrinsic value model
DG$115.2328 Oct 2026
TGT$142.9428 Oct 2026
Gap to pricefair value against the close
DG−8.7%
TGT−4%
Past readings that matchedsign of the 21-session outcome
DG52.4%of 269
TGT62.1%of 269
Price performance
How the prices moved
Price change over each period, with the S&P 500 (SPY) for comparison.
Closes to
MeasureDollar General · DGTarget Corporation · TGT
1 monthS&P 500: +1.1%
DG+2.9%
TGT−4.8%
6 monthsS&P 500: +8.5%
DG+11.1%
TGT+18.5%
Year to dateS&P 500: +13.3%
DG−3.6%
TGT+56.6%
1 yearS&P 500: +12.7%
DG+24.5%
TGT+58.5%
5 yearsS&P 500: +70.7%
DG−36.4%
TGT−30.9%
1 year against the S&P 500percentage points
DG+11.8 pts
TGT+45.8 pts
Position in the 52-week range0% low, 100% high
DG51%close $126.17 in $93.78 to $156.68
TGT76%close $148.96 in $81.20 to $170.75
Against the 200-day average
DG+0.6%
TGT+12.6%
Valuation
What the market pays
Size and the multiples from the latest filed quarter. A P/E on losses reads n/m.
Filings: quarter to (DG), (TGT)
MeasureDollar General · DGTarget Corporation · TGT
Market value
DG$34.01B28 Oct 2026
TGT$68.02B28 Oct 2026
Enterprise valueat the last filing
DG—Not in the latest filing data.
TGT$80.20B1 Aug 2026
P/Elatest filed
DG—Not measured today.
TGT14.2
Price to book
DG—Not in the latest filing data.
TGT3.70
EV / EBITDA
DG—Not in the latest filing data.
TGT8.41
Free cash flow yield
DG—Not in the latest filing data.
TGT6.75%
Dividend yield
DG—Not in the latest filing data.
TGT3.13%
Profitability
How much of revenue becomes profit
Margins and returns on capital from the latest filing; revenue, net income and earnings per share over the trailing twelve months.
Filings: quarter to (DG), (TGT)
MeasureDollar General · DGTarget Corporation · TGT
Gross margin
DG28.2%
TGT33.7%
Operating margin
DG9%
TGT9.7%
Net margin
DG5.6%
TGT7.1%
Return on equity
DG23.7%
TGT26%
Return on invested capital
DG28.3%
TGT6%
Revenuetrailing twelve months
DG—Not in the latest filing data.
TGT$106.11B
Net incometrailing twelve months
DG—Not in the latest filing data.
TGT$4.65B
Earnings per sharetrailing twelve months
DG—Not in the latest filing data.
TGT$10.18
Growth
How fast the business grew
Change against the same quarter a year earlier.
Filings: quarter to (DG), (TGT)
MeasureDollar General · DGTarget Corporation · TGT
Revenue growthyear over year
DG—Not in the latest filing data.
TGT+5.3%
Earnings growthyear over year
DG—Not in the latest filing data.
TGT+100.8%
Free cash flow growthyear over year
DG—Not in the latest filing data.
TGT+328.1%
Financial health
Balance sheet and quality scores
Leverage, liquidity and two published scores: Altman Z (below 1.8 the distress zone, above 3 the safe zone) and Piotroski F (0 to 9).
Filings: quarter to (DG), (TGT)
MeasureDollar General · DGTarget Corporation · TGT
Debt to equity
DG0.00
TGT0.80
Current ratiocurrent assets over current liabilities
DG2.32
TGT0.99
Altman Z-score
DG—Not in the latest filing data.
TGT—Not in the latest filing data.
Piotroski F-scoreout of 9
DG2 of 9
TGT6 of 9
Trading and risk
How the shares trade
Volatility, sensitivity to the market, the deepest fall, short interest and how closely the two move together.
Closes to ; FINRA settlement
MeasureDollar General · DGTarget Corporation · TGT
Volatility21 sessions, annualised
DG39%
TGT27.5%
Betaagainst the S&P 500, 5 years
DG0.34
TGT0.90
Deepest fallpeak to trough, 5 years
DG−72.6%
TGT−64.4%
Market regimeour reading at each model date
DGStrong risk-off
TGTStrong risk-off
Short interestshare of the float
DG—Not measured today.
TGT3.8%settled 30 Sep 2026
Days to covershort shares over average volume
DG2.6
TGT4.9
Average volume3 months, shares a day
DG2.33M
TGT4.05M
Moving togethercorrelation of daily returns, past year0.47, loosely together−1 opposite0 unrelated+1 together
Questions
Dollar General or Target Corporation: common questions
Which is larger by market value, Dollar General or Target Corporation?
Target Corporation, at $68.02B against $34.01B for Dollar General, on the latest closes (28 Oct 2026).
How did Dollar General and Target Corporation move over the past year against the S&P 500?
Over the past year Dollar General returned +24.5% and Target Corporation +58.5%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.
What does the model expect for Dollar General and Target Corporation over the next month?
−0.05% for Dollar General with a 69% chance of a rise, and +0.66% for Target Corporation with a 63% chance, over the next 21 sessions. Model readings 28 Oct 2026. These are model readings, not advice.
How do the operating margins of Dollar General and Target Corporation compare?
The operating margin is 9% for Dollar General and 9.7% for Target Corporation, and the gross margin 28.2% against 33.7%. Filings: quarter to 28 Jan 2000 and 1 Aug 2026.
Do Dollar General and Target Corporation shares move together?
Over the past year the correlation of their daily returns was 0.47 (loosely together); 1 means they always move together, 0 unrelated, −1 opposite. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.
In the consoleCompare up to four companies with every model readingMembers see the 63-session chance of a rise and all four horizons, side by side in Research › Compare.
Model readings are research estimates, not investment advice. Prices: daily closes. Fundamentals: the latest SEC filings. Short interest: FINRA, settlement 30 Sep 2026. A dash means the figure is not in our data; it is never shown as zero. The model view follows a published rule: next month by the sign of the expected return, the long run positive at a fair value 10% or more above the price and negative at 10% or more below it.