S&P 500 comparison · Consumer Discretionary

Amazon vs eBay Inc.

Prices at close . Model readings .

Amazon

$254.60+0.59%
Month: negativeLong run: neutral

eBay Inc.

$118.02+0.16%
Month: positiveLong run: neutral
Price change

Price change, with the S&P 500 as a benchmark

Percent change in each close since the start of the chosen range, for both companies and the S&P 500 (SPY). Daily closes over the last year, weekly before that and monthly before five years.

In short

How the two compare

On the latest closes (28 Oct 2026), Amazon is the larger company by market value ($2.78T against $53.70B). Over the past year Amazon returned +12.2% and eBay Inc. +21.6%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. The latest filed P/E is 21.3 for Amazon and 23.0 for eBay Inc., and the operating margin 13.7% against 21.6%. Over the next 21 sessions the model expects −0.12% for Amazon, with a 58% chance of a rise, and 0% for eBay Inc., with a 65% chance. Amazon's long-run fair value is $249.71, a gap of −1.9% to its price; the long-run model view is neutral. eBay Inc.'s long-run fair value is $109.80, a gap of −7% to its price; the long-run model view is neutral.

Model view

What the model expects

Expected returns and the chance of a rise from our forecasting models, and the long-run fair value against the price. Readings, not advice.

Model readings:
Expected returnnext 21 sessions
AMZN−0.12%
EBAY0%
Chance of a risenext 21 sessions
AMZN58%
EBAY65%
Expected returnnext 63 sessions
AMZN+1.54%
EBAY+1.03%
Range of outcomes63 sessions, 80% band
AMZN−20% to +23.1%
EBAY−20.3% to +22.3%
Chance of a risenext 63 sessionsMembers only · see plans
Long-run fair valueintrinsic value model
AMZN$249.7128 Oct 2026
EBAY$109.8028 Oct 2026
Gap to pricefair value against the close
AMZN−1.9%
EBAY−7%
Past readings that matchedsign of the 21-session outcome
AMZN40.9%of 269
EBAY27.9%of 269
Price performance

How the prices moved

Price change over each period, with the S&P 500 (SPY) for comparison.

Closes to
1 monthS&P 500: +1.1%
AMZN+3.2%
EBAY+12.2%
6 monthsS&P 500: +8.5%
AMZN−3.2%
EBAY+14%
Year to dateS&P 500: +13.3%
AMZN+10.3%
EBAY+36.3%
1 yearS&P 500: +12.7%
AMZN+12.2%
EBAY+21.6%
5 yearsS&P 500: +70.7%
AMZN+49.1%
EBAY+69.1%
1 year against the S&P 500percentage points
AMZN−0.5 pts
EBAY+8.9 pts
Position in the 52-week range0% low, 100% high
AMZN64%close $254.60 in $196.00 to $287.20
EBAY86%close $118.02 in $77.55 to $124.59
Against the 200-day average
AMZN+4.6%
EBAY+14%
Valuation

What the market pays

Size and the multiples from the latest filed quarter. A P/E on losses reads n/m.

Filings: quarter to
Market value
AMZN$2.78T28 Oct 2026
EBAY$53.70B28 Oct 2026
Enterprise valueat the last filing
AMZN$2.65T30 Jun 2026
EBAY$55.27B30 Jun 2026
P/Elatest filed
AMZN21.3
EBAY23.0
Price to book
AMZN4.71
EBAY10.90
EV / EBITDA
AMZN16.69
EBAY19.07
Free cash flow yield
AMZN−0.06%
EBAY4.9%
Dividend yield
AMZN0%
EBAY1.05%
Questions

Amazon or eBay Inc.: common questions

Which is larger by market value, Amazon or eBay Inc.?

Amazon, at $2.78T against $53.70B for eBay Inc., on the latest closes (28 Oct 2026).

Which has the higher P/E ratio, Amazon or eBay Inc.?

eBay Inc. has the higher latest filed P/E, 23.0; Amazon's is 21.3. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026.

How did Amazon and eBay Inc. move over the past year against the S&P 500?

Over the past year Amazon returned +12.2% and eBay Inc. +21.6%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

What does the model expect for Amazon and eBay Inc. over the next month?

−0.12% for Amazon with a 58% chance of a rise, and 0% for eBay Inc. with a 65% chance, over the next 21 sessions. Model readings 28 Oct 2026. These are model readings, not advice.

How do the operating margins of Amazon and eBay Inc. compare?

The operating margin is 13.7% for Amazon and 21.6% for eBay Inc., and the gross margin 52.3% against 73.5%. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026.

Do Amazon and eBay Inc. shares move together?

Over the past year the correlation of their daily returns was 0.21 (loosely together); 1 means they always move together, 0 unrelated, −1 opposite. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

In the consoleCompare up to four companies with every model readingMembers see the 63-session chance of a rise and all four horizons, side by side in Research › Compare.
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The two company pagesAmazon (AMZN) forecast and analysiseBay Inc. (EBAY) forecast and analysis
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Model readings are research estimates, not investment advice. Prices: daily closes. Fundamentals: the latest SEC filings. Short interest: FINRA, settlement 30 Sep 2026. A dash means the figure is not in our data; it is never shown as zero. The model view follows a published rule: next month by the sign of the expected return, the long run positive at a fair value 10% or more above the price and negative at 10% or more below it.