S&P 500 comparison · Financials

Allstate vs Progressive Corporation

Prices at close . Model readings .

Allstate

$250.20−0.6%
Month: negative

Progressive Corporation

$225.66+0.03%
Month: positive
Price change

Price change, with the S&P 500 as a benchmark

Percent change in each close since the start of the chosen range, for both companies and the S&P 500 (SPY). Daily closes over the last year, weekly before that and monthly before five years.

In short

How the two compare

On the latest closes (28 Oct 2026), Progressive Corporation is the larger company by market value ($131.83B against $64.83B). Over the past year Allstate returned +31.5% and Progressive Corporation +10.9%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. The latest filed P/E is 5.4 for Allstate and 11.2 for Progressive Corporation, and the operating margin 0% against 18.2%. Over the next 21 sessions the model expects −0.16% for Allstate, with a 45% chance of a rise, and +0.12% for Progressive Corporation, with a 53% chance.

Model view

What the model expects

Expected returns and the chance of a rise from our forecasting models, and the long-run fair value against the price. Readings, not advice.

Model readings:
Expected returnnext 21 sessions
ALL−0.16%
PGR+0.12%
Chance of a risenext 21 sessions
ALL45%
PGR53%
Expected returnnext 63 sessions
ALL+3.12%
PGR+2.73%
Range of outcomes63 sessions, 80% band
ALL−17.7% to +24%
PGR−17% to +22.4%
Chance of a risenext 63 sessionsMembers only · see plans
Long-run fair valueintrinsic value model
ALL—The model's fair value falls outside its own interval or at the gap clamp, so it is not a measurement.
PGR—The model's fair value falls outside its own interval or at the gap clamp, so it is not a measurement.
Gap to pricefair value against the close
ALL—The model's fair value falls outside its own interval or at the gap clamp, so it is not a measurement.
PGR—The model's fair value falls outside its own interval or at the gap clamp, so it is not a measurement.
Past readings that matchedsign of the 21-session outcome
ALL36.8%of 269
PGR54.6%of 269
Price performance

How the prices moved

Price change over each period, with the S&P 500 (SPY) for comparison.

Closes to
1 monthS&P 500: +1.1%
ALL+11%
PGR+7.2%
6 monthsS&P 500: +8.5%
ALL+18.5%
PGR+12.5%
Year to dateS&P 500: +13.3%
ALL+21.4%
PGR+5.5%
1 yearS&P 500: +12.7%
ALL+31.5%
PGR+10.9%
5 yearsS&P 500: +70.7%
ALL+118.5%
PGR+166.6%
1 year against the S&P 500percentage points
ALL+18.8 pts
PGR−1.8 pts
Position in the 52-week range0% low, 100% high
ALL71%close $250.20 in $185.28 to $277.22
PGR73%close $225.66 in $187.78 to $239.38
Against the 200-day average
ALL+10.2%
PGR+8%
Valuation

What the market pays

Size and the multiples from the latest filed quarter. A P/E on losses reads n/m.

Filings: quarter to
Market value
ALL$64.83B28 Oct 2026
PGR$131.83B28 Oct 2026
Enterprise valueat the last filing
ALL$68.30B30 Jun 2026
PGR—Not in the latest filing data.
P/Elatest filed
ALL5.4
PGR11.2
Price to book
ALL1.83
PGR3.72
EV / EBITDA
ALL—Not in the latest filing data.
PGR8.46
Free cash flow yield
ALL19.87%
PGR12.5%
Dividend yield
ALL1.73%
PGR6.38%
Questions

Allstate or Progressive Corporation: common questions

Which is larger by market value, Allstate or Progressive Corporation?

Progressive Corporation, at $131.83B against $64.83B for Allstate, on the latest closes (28 Oct 2026).

Which has the higher P/E ratio, Allstate or Progressive Corporation?

Progressive Corporation has the higher latest filed P/E, 11.2; Allstate's is 5.4. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026.

How did Allstate and Progressive Corporation move over the past year against the S&P 500?

Over the past year Allstate returned +31.5% and Progressive Corporation +10.9%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

What does the model expect for Allstate and Progressive Corporation over the next month?

−0.16% for Allstate with a 45% chance of a rise, and +0.12% for Progressive Corporation with a 53% chance, over the next 21 sessions. Model readings 28 Oct 2026. These are model readings, not advice.

How do the operating margins of Allstate and Progressive Corporation compare?

The operating margin is 0% for Allstate and 18.2% for Progressive Corporation. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026.

Do Allstate and Progressive Corporation shares move together?

Over the past year the correlation of their daily returns was 0.71 (often together); 1 means they always move together, 0 unrelated, −1 opposite. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

In the consoleCompare up to four companies with every model readingMembers see the 63-session chance of a rise and all four horizons, side by side in Research › Compare.
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The two company pagesAllstate (ALL) forecast and analysisProgressive Corporation (PGR) forecast and analysis
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BrowseAll Financials companiesAll comparisonsHow the model readings are made

Model readings are research estimates, not investment advice. Prices: daily closes. Fundamentals: the latest SEC filings. Short interest: FINRA, settlement 30 Sep 2026. A dash means the figure is not in our data; it is never shown as zero. The model view follows a published rule: next month by the sign of the expected return, the long run positive at a fair value 10% or more above the price and negative at 10% or more below it.