S&P 500 comparison · Materials

Nucor vs Steel Dynamics

Prices at close . Model readings .

Nucor

$271.79+0.37%
Month: negativeLong run: neutral

Steel Dynamics

$249.99+1.29%
Month: negativeLong run: neutral
Price change

Price change, with the S&P 500 as a benchmark

Percent change in each close since the start of the chosen range, for both companies and the S&P 500 (SPY). Daily closes over the last year, weekly before that and monthly before five years.

In short

How the two compare

On the latest closes (28 Oct 2026), Nucor is the larger company by market value ($62.10B against $35.90B). Over the past year Nucor returned +90.3% and Steel Dynamics +59.5%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. The latest filed P/E is 22.0 for Nucor and 20.7 for Steel Dynamics, and the operating margin 11.6% against 15.5%. Over the next 21 sessions the model expects −0.71% for Nucor, with a 28% chance of a rise, and −0.87% for Steel Dynamics, with a 24% chance. Nucor's long-run fair value is $265.37, a gap of −2.4% to its price; the long-run model view is neutral. Steel Dynamics' long-run fair value is $245.52, a gap of −1.8% to its price; the long-run model view is neutral.

Model view

What the model expects

Expected returns and the chance of a rise from our forecasting models, and the long-run fair value against the price. Readings, not advice.

Model readings:
Expected returnnext 21 sessions
NUE−0.71%
STLD−0.87%
Chance of a risenext 21 sessions
NUE28%
STLD24%
Expected returnnext 63 sessions
NUE+0.55%
STLD+0.49%
Range of outcomes63 sessions, 80% band
NUE−22% to +23.1%
STLD−22.2% to +23.2%
Chance of a risenext 63 sessionsMembers only · see plans
Long-run fair valueintrinsic value model
NUE$265.3728 Oct 2026
STLD$245.5228 Oct 2026
Gap to pricefair value against the close
NUE−2.4%
STLD−1.8%
Past readings that matchedsign of the 21-session outcome
NUE56.9%of 269
STLD61%of 269
Price performance

How the prices moved

Price change over each period, with the S&P 500 (SPY) for comparison.

Closes to
1 monthS&P 500: +1.1%
NUE+15.3%
STLD+12.9%
6 monthsS&P 500: +8.5%
NUE+22.5%
STLD+11.7%
Year to dateS&P 500: +13.3%
NUE+67.6%
STLD+48.3%
1 yearS&P 500: +12.7%
NUE+90.3%
STLD+59.5%
5 yearsS&P 500: +70.7%
NUE+177.3%
STLD+312.5%
1 year against the S&P 500percentage points
NUE+77.6 pts
STLD+46.8 pts
Position in the 52-week range0% low, 100% high
NUE94%close $271.79 in $139.63 to $280.11
STLD73%close $249.99 in $148.79 to $288.09
Against the 200-day average
NUE+22.2%
STLD+12.3%
Valuation

What the market pays

Size and the multiples from the latest filed quarter. A P/E on losses reads n/m.

Filings: quarter to (NUE), (STLD)
Market value
NUE$62.10B28 Oct 2026
STLD$35.90B28 Oct 2026
Enterprise valueat the last filing
NUE$54.48B4 Jul 2026
STLD$35.08B30 Sep 2026
P/Elatest filed
NUE22.0
STLD20.7
Price to book
NUE2.17
STLD3.30
EV / EBITDA
NUE17.63
STLD13.69
Free cash flow yield
NUE3.14%
STLD2.01%
Dividend yield
NUE1.02%
STLD0.92%
Questions

Nucor or Steel Dynamics: common questions

Which is larger by market value, Nucor or Steel Dynamics?

Nucor, at $62.10B against $35.90B for Steel Dynamics, on the latest closes (28 Oct 2026).

Which has the higher P/E ratio, Nucor or Steel Dynamics?

Nucor has the higher latest filed P/E, 22.0; Steel Dynamics' is 20.7. Filings: quarter to 4 Jul 2026 and 30 Sep 2026.

How did Nucor and Steel Dynamics move over the past year against the S&P 500?

Over the past year Nucor returned +90.3% and Steel Dynamics +59.5%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

What does the model expect for Nucor and Steel Dynamics over the next month?

−0.71% for Nucor with a 28% chance of a rise, and −0.87% for Steel Dynamics with a 24% chance, over the next 21 sessions. Model readings 28 Oct 2026. These are model readings, not advice.

How do the operating margins of Nucor and Steel Dynamics compare?

The operating margin is 11.6% for Nucor and 15.5% for Steel Dynamics, and the gross margin 19.6% against 19.7%. Filings: quarter to 4 Jul 2026 and 30 Sep 2026.

Do Nucor and Steel Dynamics shares move together?

Over the past year the correlation of their daily returns was 0.88 (closely together); 1 means they always move together, 0 unrelated, −1 opposite. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

In the consoleCompare up to four companies with every model readingMembers see the 63-session chance of a rise and all four horizons, side by side in Research › Compare.
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The two company pagesNucor (NUE) forecast and analysisSteel Dynamics (STLD) forecast and analysis
BrowseAll Materials companiesAll comparisonsHow the model readings are made

Model readings are research estimates, not investment advice. Prices: daily closes. Fundamentals: the latest SEC filings. Short interest: FINRA, settlement 30 Sep 2026. A dash means the figure is not in our data; it is never shown as zero. The model view follows a published rule: next month by the sign of the expected return, the long run positive at a fair value 10% or more above the price and negative at 10% or more below it.