S&P 500 comparison · Consumer Discretionary

Lennar vs NVR, Inc.

Prices at close . Model readings .

Lennar

$83.45−1.34%
Month: negativeLong run: positive

NVR, Inc.

$5,792.63−0.23%
Month: positiveLong run: positive
Price change

Price change, with the S&P 500 as a benchmark

Percent change in each close since the start of the chosen range, for both companies and the S&P 500 (SPY). Daily closes over the last year, weekly before that and monthly before five years.

In short

How the two compare

On the latest closes (28 Oct 2026), Lennar is the larger company by market value ($19.85B against $16.31B). Over the past year Lennar returned −34.1% and NVR, Inc. −22.1%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. The latest filed P/E is 11.3 for Lennar and 15.4 for NVR, Inc., and the operating margin -6.3% against 0%. Over the next 21 sessions the model expects −0.47% for Lennar, with a 21% chance of a rise, and +0.27% for NVR, Inc., with a 63% chance. Lennar's long-run fair value is $104.61, a gap of +25.4% to its price; the long-run model view is positive. NVR, Inc.'s long-run fair value is $6,922.89, a gap of +19.5% to its price; the long-run model view is positive.

Model view

What the model expects

Expected returns and the chance of a rise from our forecasting models, and the long-run fair value against the price. Readings, not advice.

Model readings:
Expected returnnext 21 sessions
LEN−0.47%
NVR+0.27%
Chance of a risenext 21 sessions
LEN21%
NVR63%
Expected returnnext 63 sessions
LEN−0.3%
NVR+0.95%
Range of outcomes63 sessions, 80% band
LEN−29.1% to +28.5%
NVR−20.5% to +22.4%
Chance of a risenext 63 sessionsMembers only · see plans
Long-run fair valueintrinsic value model
LEN$104.6128 Oct 2026
NVR$6,922.8928 Oct 2026
Gap to pricefair value against the close
LEN+25.4%
NVR+19.5%
Past readings that matchedsign of the 21-session outcome
LEN58.4%of 269
NVR44.6%of 269
Price performance

How the prices moved

Price change over each period, with the S&P 500 (SPY) for comparison.

Closes to
1 monthS&P 500: +1.1%
LEN+0.5%
NVR−7.1%
6 monthsS&P 500: +8.5%
LEN−5.4%
NVR−6.7%
Year to dateS&P 500: +13.3%
LEN−17.5%
NVR−20.6%
1 yearS&P 500: +12.7%
LEN−34.1%
NVR−22.1%
5 yearsS&P 500: +70.7%
LEN−8.9%
NVR+14.7%
1 year against the S&P 500percentage points
LEN−46.9 pts
NVR−34.8 pts
Position in the 52-week range0% low, 100% high
LEN19%close $83.45 in $71.78 to $131.68
NVR11%close $5,792.63 in $5,501.01 to $8,200.00
Against the 200-day average
LEN−8.3%
NVR−11.6%
Valuation

What the market pays

Size and the multiples from the latest filed quarter. A P/E on losses reads n/m.

Filings: quarter to (LEN), (NVR)
Market value
LEN$19.85B28 Oct 2026
NVR$16.31B28 Oct 2026
Enterprise valueat the last filing
LEN$24.20B31 Aug 2026
NVR—Not in the latest filing data.
P/Elatest filed
LEN11.3
NVR15.4
Price to book
LEN0.92
NVR5.66
EV / EBITDA
LEN-13.53
NVR—Not in the latest filing data.
Free cash flow yield
LEN4.05%
NVR5.45%
Dividend yield
LEN2.46%
NVR0%
Questions

Lennar or NVR, Inc.: common questions

Which is larger by market value, Lennar or NVR, Inc.?

Lennar, at $19.85B against $16.31B for NVR, Inc., on the latest closes (28 Oct 2026).

Which has the higher P/E ratio, Lennar or NVR, Inc.?

NVR, Inc. has the higher latest filed P/E, 15.4; Lennar's is 11.3. Filings: quarter to 31 Aug 2026 and 30 Jun 2026.

How did Lennar and NVR, Inc. move over the past year against the S&P 500?

Over the past year Lennar returned −34.1% and NVR, Inc. −22.1%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

What does the model expect for Lennar and NVR, Inc. over the next month?

−0.47% for Lennar with a 21% chance of a rise, and +0.27% for NVR, Inc. with a 63% chance, over the next 21 sessions. Model readings 28 Oct 2026. These are model readings, not advice.

How do the operating margins of Lennar and NVR, Inc. compare?

The operating margin is -6.3% for Lennar and 0% for NVR, Inc. Filings: quarter to 31 Aug 2026 and 30 Jun 2026.

Do Lennar and NVR, Inc. shares move together?

Over the past year the correlation of their daily returns was 0.71 (often together); 1 means they always move together, 0 unrelated, −1 opposite. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

In the consoleCompare up to four companies with every model readingMembers see the 63-session chance of a rise and all four horizons, side by side in Research › Compare.
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The two company pagesLennar (LEN) forecast and analysisNVR, Inc. (NVR) forecast and analysis
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BrowseAll Consumer Discretionary companiesAll comparisonsHow the model readings are made

Model readings are research estimates, not investment advice. Prices: daily closes. Fundamentals: the latest SEC filings. Short interest: FINRA, settlement 30 Sep 2026. A dash means the figure is not in our data; it is never shown as zero. The model view follows a published rule: next month by the sign of the expected return, the long run positive at a fair value 10% or more above the price and negative at 10% or more below it.