S&P 500 comparison · Consumer Staples

Hormel Foods vs J.M. Smucker Company (The)

Prices at close . Model readings .

Hormel Foods

$20.61−1.25%
Month: negativeLong run: negative

J.M. Smucker Company (The)

$125.46−1.53%
Month: positiveLong run: negative
Price change

Price change, with the S&P 500 as a benchmark

Percent change in each close since the start of the chosen range, for both companies and the S&P 500 (SPY). Daily closes over the last year, weekly before that and monthly before five years.

In short

How the two compare

On the latest closes (28 Oct 2026), J.M. Smucker Company (The) is the larger company by market value ($13.40B against $11.36B). Over the past year Hormel Foods returned −9.8% and J.M. Smucker Company (The) +24.7%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. The latest filed P/E is 39.4 for Hormel Foods and 55.5 for J.M. Smucker Company (The), and the operating margin 3.8% against 23.1%. Over the next 21 sessions the model expects −0.69% for Hormel Foods, with a 17% chance of a rise, and +0.11% for J.M. Smucker Company (The), with a 62% chance. Hormel Foods' long-run fair value is $17.02, a gap of −17.4% to its price; the long-run model view is negative. J.M. Smucker Company (The)'s long-run fair value is $110.91, a gap of −11.6% to its price; the long-run model view is negative.

Model view

What the model expects

Expected returns and the chance of a rise from our forecasting models, and the long-run fair value against the price. Readings, not advice.

Model readings:
Expected returnnext 21 sessions
HRL−0.69%
SJM+0.11%
Chance of a risenext 21 sessions
HRL17%
SJM62%
Expected returnnext 63 sessions
HRL+0.34%
SJM−0.43%
Range of outcomes63 sessions, 80% band
HRL−16% to +16.7%
SJM−18% to +17.1%
Chance of a risenext 63 sessionsMembers only · see plans
Long-run fair valueintrinsic value model
HRL$17.0228 Oct 2026
SJM$110.9128 Oct 2026
Gap to pricefair value against the close
HRL−17.4%
SJM−11.6%
Past readings that matchedsign of the 21-session outcome
HRL52.8%of 269
SJM56.5%of 269
Price performance

How the prices moved

Price change over each period, with the S&P 500 (SPY) for comparison.

Closes to
1 monthS&P 500: +1.1%
HRL+3.8%
SJM+3.9%
6 monthsS&P 500: +8.5%
HRL0%
SJM+32.3%
Year to dateS&P 500: +13.3%
HRL−9.6%
SJM+32.2%
1 yearS&P 500: +12.7%
HRL−9.8%
SJM+24.7%
5 yearsS&P 500: +70.7%
HRL−42%
SJM+22.6%
1 year against the S&P 500percentage points
HRL−22.5 pts
SJM+12.0 pts
Position in the 52-week range0% low, 100% high
HRL22%close $20.61 in $18.96 to $26.43
SJM79%close $125.46 in $86.47 to $135.89
Against the 200-day average
HRL−8.8%
SJM+14.4%
Valuation

What the market pays

Size and the multiples from the latest filed quarter. A P/E on losses reads n/m.

Filings: quarter to (HRL), (SJM)
Market value
HRL$11.36B28 Oct 2026
SJM$13.40B28 Oct 2026
Enterprise valueat the last filing
HRL$15.46B26 Jul 2026
SJM$19.33B31 Jul 2026
P/Elatest filed
HRL39.4
SJM55.5
Price to book
HRL1.77
SJM2.22
EV / EBITDA
HRL21.30
SJM16.70
Free cash flow yield
HRL5.6%
SJM12.47%
Dividend yield
HRL4.6%
SJM3.67%
Questions

Hormel Foods or J.M. Smucker Company (The): common questions

Which is larger by market value, Hormel Foods or J.M. Smucker Company (The)?

J.M. Smucker Company (The), at $13.40B against $11.36B for Hormel Foods, on the latest closes (28 Oct 2026).

Which has the higher P/E ratio, Hormel Foods or J.M. Smucker Company (The)?

J.M. Smucker Company (The) has the higher latest filed P/E, 55.5; Hormel Foods' is 39.4. Filings: quarter to 26 Jul 2026 and 31 Jul 2026.

How did Hormel Foods and J.M. Smucker Company (The) move over the past year against the S&P 500?

Over the past year Hormel Foods returned −9.8% and J.M. Smucker Company (The) +24.7%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

What does the model expect for Hormel Foods and J.M. Smucker Company (The) over the next month?

−0.69% for Hormel Foods with a 17% chance of a rise, and +0.11% for J.M. Smucker Company (The) with a 62% chance, over the next 21 sessions. Model readings 28 Oct 2026. These are model readings, not advice.

How do the operating margins of Hormel Foods and J.M. Smucker Company (The) compare?

The operating margin is 3.8% for Hormel Foods and 23.1% for J.M. Smucker Company (The), and the gross margin 15.9% against 44.1%. Filings: quarter to 26 Jul 2026 and 31 Jul 2026.

Do Hormel Foods and J.M. Smucker Company (The) shares move together?

Over the past year the correlation of their daily returns was 0.38 (loosely together); 1 means they always move together, 0 unrelated, −1 opposite. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

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The two company pagesHormel Foods (HRL) forecast and analysisJ.M. Smucker Company (The) (SJM) forecast and analysis
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BrowseAll Consumer Staples companiesAll comparisonsHow the model readings are made

Model readings are research estimates, not investment advice. Prices: daily closes. Fundamentals: the latest SEC filings. Short interest: FINRA, settlement 30 Sep 2026. A dash means the figure is not in our data; it is never shown as zero. The model view follows a published rule: next month by the sign of the expected return, the long run positive at a fair value 10% or more above the price and negative at 10% or more below it.