S&P 500 comparison · Financials

Global Payments vs PayPal

Prices at close . Model readings .

Global Payments

$83.55+2.6%
Month: negativeLong run: negative

PayPal

$56.55+0.82%
Month: negativeLong run: positive
Price change

Price change, with the S&P 500 as a benchmark

Percent change in each close since the start of the chosen range, for both companies and the S&P 500 (SPY). Daily closes over the last year, weekly before that and monthly before five years.

In short

How the two compare

On the latest closes (28 Oct 2026), PayPal is the larger company by market value ($48.52B against $22.57B). Over the past year Global Payments returned −2.7% and PayPal −18.8%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. The latest filed P/E is 16.7 for Global Payments and 8.9 for PayPal, and the operating margin 10.2% against 16.3%. Over the next 21 sessions the model expects −0.63% for Global Payments, with a 16% chance of a rise, and −0.51% for PayPal, with a 51% chance. Global Payments' long-run fair value is $68.90, a gap of −17.5% to its price; the long-run model view is negative. PayPal's long-run fair value is $69.74, a gap of +23.3% to its price; the long-run model view is positive.

Model view

What the model expects

Expected returns and the chance of a rise from our forecasting models, and the long-run fair value against the price. Readings, not advice.

Model readings:
Expected returnnext 21 sessions
GPN−0.63%
PYPL−0.51%
Chance of a risenext 21 sessions
GPN16%
PYPL51%
Expected returnnext 63 sessions
GPN+1.25%
PYPL+2.28%
Range of outcomes63 sessions, 80% band
GPN−21.2% to +23.7%
PYPL−19.5% to +24.1%
Chance of a risenext 63 sessionsMembers only · see plans
Long-run fair valueintrinsic value model
GPN$68.9028 Oct 2026
PYPL$69.7428 Oct 2026
Gap to pricefair value against the close
GPN−17.5%
PYPL+23.3%
Past readings that matchedsign of the 21-session outcome
GPN46.8%of 269
PYPL24.9%of 269
Price performance

How the prices moved

Price change over each period, with the S&P 500 (SPY) for comparison.

Closes to
1 monthS&P 500: +1.1%
GPN+0.3%
PYPL+4.9%
6 monthsS&P 500: +8.5%
GPN+18.2%
PYPL+11.4%
Year to dateS&P 500: +13.3%
GPN+8.7%
PYPL−2.5%
1 yearS&P 500: +12.7%
GPN−2.7%
PYPL−18.8%
5 yearsS&P 500: +70.7%
GPN−45.7%
PYPL−77.9%
1 year against the S&P 500percentage points
GPN−15.5 pts
PYPL−31.5 pts
Position in the 52-week range0% low, 100% high
GPN65%close $83.55 in $60.93 to $95.61
PYPL45%close $56.55 in $38.22 to $78.53
Against the 200-day average
GPN+9.1%
PYPL+13.4%
Valuation

What the market pays

Size and the multiples from the latest filed quarter. A P/E on losses reads n/m.

Filings: quarter to (GPN), (PYPL)
Market value
GPN$22.57B28 Oct 2026
PYPL$48.52B28 Oct 2026
Enterprise valueat the last filing
GPN$36.71B30 Jun 2026
PYPL$51.38B30 Sep 2026
P/Elatest filed
GPN16.7
PYPL8.9
Price to book
GPN0.82
PYPL2.31
EV / EBITDA
GPN12.70
PYPL7.43
Free cash flow yield
GPN4.2%
PYPL13.98%
Dividend yield
GPN1.28%
PYPL1.11%
Questions

Global Payments or PayPal: common questions

Which is larger by market value, Global Payments or PayPal?

PayPal, at $48.52B against $22.57B for Global Payments, on the latest closes (28 Oct 2026).

Which has the higher P/E ratio, Global Payments or PayPal?

Global Payments has the higher latest filed P/E, 16.7; PayPal's is 8.9. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026 and 30 Sep 2026.

How did Global Payments and PayPal move over the past year against the S&P 500?

Over the past year Global Payments returned −2.7% and PayPal −18.8%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

What does the model expect for Global Payments and PayPal over the next month?

−0.63% for Global Payments with a 16% chance of a rise, and −0.51% for PayPal with a 51% chance, over the next 21 sessions. Model readings 28 Oct 2026. These are model readings, not advice.

How do the operating margins of Global Payments and PayPal compare?

The operating margin is 10.2% for Global Payments and 16.3% for PayPal. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026 and 30 Sep 2026.

Do Global Payments and PayPal shares move together?

Over the past year the correlation of their daily returns was 0.47 (loosely together); 1 means they always move together, 0 unrelated, −1 opposite. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

In the consoleCompare up to four companies with every model readingMembers see the 63-session chance of a rise and all four horizons, side by side in Research › Compare.
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The two company pagesGlobal Payments (GPN) forecast and analysisPayPal (PYPL) forecast and analysis
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BrowseAll Financials companiesAll comparisonsHow the model readings are made

Model readings are research estimates, not investment advice. Prices: daily closes. Fundamentals: the latest SEC filings. Short interest: FINRA, settlement 30 Sep 2026. A dash means the figure is not in our data; it is never shown as zero. The model view follows a published rule: next month by the sign of the expected return, the long run positive at a fair value 10% or more above the price and negative at 10% or more below it.