S&P 500 comparison · Consumer Discretionary

Ford Motor Company vs Tesla, Inc.

Prices at close . Model readings .

Ford Motor Company

$11.95+2.05%
Month: positive

Tesla, Inc.

$404.22−0.8%
Month: negativeLong run: neutral
Price change

Price change, with the S&P 500 as a benchmark

Percent change in each close since the start of the chosen range, for both companies and the S&P 500 (SPY). Daily closes over the last year, weekly before that and monthly before five years.

In short

How the two compare

On the latest closes (28 Oct 2026), Tesla, Inc. is the larger company by market value ($1.60T against $47.93B). Over the past year Ford Motor Company returned −5.7% and Tesla, Inc. −10.7%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. The operating margin is 0.8% for Ford Motor Company and 2.6% for Tesla, Inc. Over the next 21 sessions the model expects +0.14% for Ford Motor Company, with a 50% chance of a rise, and −0.94% for Tesla, Inc., with a 5% chance. Ford Motor Company has no published fair value today. Tesla, Inc.'s long-run fair value is $380.18, a gap of −6% to its price; the long-run model view is neutral.

Model view

What the model expects

Expected returns and the chance of a rise from our forecasting models, and the long-run fair value against the price. Readings, not advice.

Model readings:
Expected returnnext 21 sessions
F+0.14%
TSLA−0.94%
Chance of a risenext 21 sessions
F50%
TSLA5%
Expected returnnext 63 sessions
F+3.69%
TSLA−1.25%
Range of outcomes63 sessions, 80% band
F−20% to +27.4%
TSLA−28% to +25.5%
Chance of a risenext 63 sessionsMembers only · see plans
Long-run fair valueintrinsic value model
F—The model's fair value falls outside its own interval or at the gap clamp, so it is not a measurement.
TSLA$380.1828 Oct 2026
Gap to pricefair value against the close
F—The model's fair value falls outside its own interval or at the gap clamp, so it is not a measurement.
TSLA−6%
Past readings that matchedsign of the 21-session outcome
F59.8%of 269
TSLA48.7%of 269
Price performance

How the prices moved

Price change over each period, with the S&P 500 (SPY) for comparison.

Closes to
1 monthS&P 500: +1.1%
F−2.8%
TSLA+14.6%
6 monthsS&P 500: +8.5%
F−0.1%
TSLA+8.4%
Year to dateS&P 500: +13.3%
F−5.8%
TSLA−10.1%
1 yearS&P 500: +12.7%
F−5.7%
TSLA−10.7%
5 yearsS&P 500: +70.7%
F+1.6%
TSLA+40.1%
1 year against the S&P 500percentage points
F−18.4 pts
TSLA−23.4 pts
Position in the 52-week range0% low, 100% high
F16%close $11.95 in $10.85 to $17.59
TSLA53%close $404.22 in $297.38 to $498.83
Against the 200-day average
F−9.3%
TSLA+4.8%
Valuation

What the market pays

Size and the multiples from the latest filed quarter. A P/E on losses reads n/m.

Filings: quarter to (F), (TSLA)
Market value
F$47.93B28 Oct 2026
TSLA$1.60T28 Oct 2026
Enterprise valueat the last filing
F—Not in the latest filing data.
TSLA$1.39T30 Sep 2026
P/Elatest filed
Fn/mA P/E on negative earnings is not a multiple.
TSLA437.2
Price to book
F1.24
TSLA15.61
EV / EBITDA
F4.94
TSLA160.05
Free cash flow yield
F11.52%
TSLA0.24%
Dividend yield
F4.29%
TSLA0%
Questions

Ford Motor Company or Tesla, Inc.: common questions

Which is larger by market value, Ford Motor Company or Tesla, Inc.?

Tesla, Inc., at $1.60T against $47.93B for Ford Motor Company, on the latest closes (28 Oct 2026).

Which has the higher P/E ratio, Ford Motor Company or Tesla, Inc.?

Tesla, Inc.'s latest filed P/E is 437.2; Ford Motor Company reported losses, so its P/E is not meaningful (n/m). Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026 and 30 Sep 2026.

How did Ford Motor Company and Tesla, Inc. move over the past year against the S&P 500?

Over the past year Ford Motor Company returned −5.7% and Tesla, Inc. −10.7%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

What does the model expect for Ford Motor Company and Tesla, Inc. over the next month?

+0.14% for Ford Motor Company with a 50% chance of a rise, and −0.94% for Tesla, Inc. with a 5% chance, over the next 21 sessions. Model readings 28 Oct 2026. These are model readings, not advice.

How do the operating margins of Ford Motor Company and Tesla, Inc. compare?

The operating margin is 0.8% for Ford Motor Company and 2.6% for Tesla, Inc., and the gross margin 13.5% against 19.6%. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026 and 30 Sep 2026.

Do Ford Motor Company and Tesla, Inc. shares move together?

Over the past year the correlation of their daily returns was 0.29 (loosely together); 1 means they always move together, 0 unrelated, −1 opposite. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

In the consoleCompare up to four companies with every model readingMembers see the 63-session chance of a rise and all four horizons, side by side in Research › Compare.
Open in the console
The two company pagesFord Motor Company (F) forecast and analysisTesla, Inc. (TSLA) forecast and analysis
More comparisonsFord Motor Company vs General Motors
BrowseAll Consumer Discretionary companiesAll comparisonsHow the model readings are made

Model readings are research estimates, not investment advice. Prices: daily closes. Fundamentals: the latest SEC filings. Short interest: FINRA, settlement 30 Sep 2026. A dash means the figure is not in our data; it is never shown as zero. The model view follows a published rule: next month by the sign of the expected return, the long run positive at a fair value 10% or more above the price and negative at 10% or more below it.