S&P 500 comparison · Materials

Eastman Chemical Co. vs LyondellBasell

Prices at close . Model readings .

Eastman Chemical Co.

$66.67+0.83%
Month: negativeLong run: neutral

LyondellBasell

$67.13−0.44%
Month: negativeLong run: negative
Price change

Price change, with the S&P 500 as a benchmark

Percent change in each close since the start of the chosen range, for both companies and the S&P 500 (SPY). Daily closes over the last year, weekly before that and monthly before five years.

In short

How the two compare

On the latest closes (28 Oct 2026), LyondellBasell is the larger company by market value ($21.69B against $7.69B). Over the past year Eastman Chemical Co. returned +8.4% and LyondellBasell +43.9%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. The latest filed P/E is 14.9 for Eastman Chemical Co. and 3.6 for LyondellBasell, and the operating margin 5.7% against 16.8%. Over the next 21 sessions the model expects −0.54% for Eastman Chemical Co., with a 16% chance of a rise, and −1.18% for LyondellBasell, with a 16% chance. Eastman Chemical Co.'s long-run fair value is $64.90, a gap of −2.7% to its price; the long-run model view is neutral. LyondellBasell's long-run fair value is $52.11, a gap of −22.4% to its price; the long-run model view is negative.

Model view

What the model expects

Expected returns and the chance of a rise from our forecasting models, and the long-run fair value against the price. Readings, not advice.

Model readings:
Expected returnnext 21 sessions
EMN−0.54%
LYB−1.18%
Chance of a risenext 21 sessions
EMN16%
LYB16%
Expected returnnext 63 sessions
EMN+0.33%
LYB+0.56%
Range of outcomes63 sessions, 80% band
EMN−18.8% to +19.4%
LYB−20.3% to +21.5%
Chance of a risenext 63 sessionsMembers only · see plans
Long-run fair valueintrinsic value model
EMN$64.9028 Oct 2026
LYB$52.1128 Oct 2026
Gap to pricefair value against the close
EMN−2.7%
LYB−22.4%
Past readings that matchedsign of the 21-session outcome
EMN51.3%of 269
LYB51.7%of 269
Price performance

How the prices moved

Price change over each period, with the S&P 500 (SPY) for comparison.

Closes to
1 monthS&P 500: +1.1%
EMN+1.4%
LYB+15.4%
6 monthsS&P 500: +8.5%
EMN−4.3%
LYB−7.4%
Year to dateS&P 500: +13.3%
EMN+6.9%
LYB+58.6%
1 yearS&P 500: +12.7%
EMN+8.4%
LYB+43.9%
5 yearsS&P 500: +70.7%
EMN−26.2%
LYB−5.9%
1 year against the S&P 500percentage points
EMN−4.3 pts
LYB+31.2 pts
Position in the 52-week range0% low, 100% high
EMN46%close $66.67 in $54.12 to $81.56
LYB63%close $67.13 in $39.52 to $83.07
Against the 200-day average
EMN−5.2%
LYB+6.1%
Valuation

What the market pays

Size and the multiples from the latest filed quarter. A P/E on losses reads n/m.

Filings: quarter to
Market value
EMN$7.69B28 Oct 2026
LYB$21.69B28 Oct 2026
Enterprise valueat the last filing
EMN$12.94B30 Jun 2026
LYB$25.83B30 Jun 2026
P/Elatest filed
EMN14.9
LYB3.6
Price to book
EMN1.25
LYB1.59
EV / EBITDA
EMN17.53
LYB11.42
Free cash flow yield
EMN6.98%
LYB9.28%
Dividend yield
EMN4.95%
LYB7.84%
Questions

Eastman Chemical Co. or LyondellBasell: common questions

Which is larger by market value, Eastman Chemical Co. or LyondellBasell?

LyondellBasell, at $21.69B against $7.69B for Eastman Chemical Co., on the latest closes (28 Oct 2026).

Which has the higher P/E ratio, Eastman Chemical Co. or LyondellBasell?

Eastman Chemical Co. has the higher latest filed P/E, 14.9; LyondellBasell's is 3.6. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026.

How did Eastman Chemical Co. and LyondellBasell move over the past year against the S&P 500?

Over the past year Eastman Chemical Co. returned +8.4% and LyondellBasell +43.9%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

What does the model expect for Eastman Chemical Co. and LyondellBasell over the next month?

−0.54% for Eastman Chemical Co. with a 16% chance of a rise, and −1.18% for LyondellBasell with a 16% chance, over the next 21 sessions. Model readings 28 Oct 2026. These are model readings, not advice.

How do the operating margins of Eastman Chemical Co. and LyondellBasell compare?

The operating margin is 5.7% for Eastman Chemical Co. and 16.8% for LyondellBasell, and the gross margin 22.3% against 22.2%. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026.

Do Eastman Chemical Co. and LyondellBasell shares move together?

Over the past year the correlation of their daily returns was 0.32 (loosely together); 1 means they always move together, 0 unrelated, −1 opposite. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

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The two company pagesEastman Chemical Co. (EMN) forecast and analysisLyondellBasell (LYB) forecast and analysis
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Model readings are research estimates, not investment advice. Prices: daily closes. Fundamentals: the latest SEC filings. Short interest: FINRA, settlement 30 Sep 2026. A dash means the figure is not in our data; it is never shown as zero. The model view follows a published rule: next month by the sign of the expected return, the long run positive at a fair value 10% or more above the price and negative at 10% or more below it.