S&P 500 comparison · Consumer Discretionary

Deckers Brands vs Lululemon Athletica

Prices at close . Model readings .

Deckers Brands

$80.74+0.25%
Month: positive

Lululemon Athletica

$105.22+0.6%
Month: negativeLong run: positive
Price change

Price change, with the S&P 500 as a benchmark

Percent change in each close since the start of the chosen range, for both companies and the S&P 500 (SPY). Daily closes over the last year, weekly before that and monthly before five years.

In short

How the two compare

On the latest closes (28 Oct 2026), Lululemon Athletica is the larger company by market value ($11.88B against $11.19B). Over the past year Deckers Brands returned −10.8% and Lululemon Athletica −42%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. The latest filed P/E is 13.6 for Deckers Brands and 8.7 for Lululemon Athletica, and the operating margin 15.2% against 18.8%. Over the next 21 sessions the model expects +0.55% for Deckers Brands, with a 82% chance of a rise, and −0.25% for Lululemon Athletica, with a 47% chance. Deckers Brands has no published fair value today. Lululemon Athletica's long-run fair value is $143.75, a gap of +36.6% to its price; the long-run model view is positive.

Model view

What the model expects

Expected returns and the chance of a rise from our forecasting models, and the long-run fair value against the price. Readings, not advice.

Model readings:
Expected returnnext 21 sessions
DECK+0.55%
LULU−0.25%
Chance of a risenext 21 sessions
DECK82%
LULU47%
Expected returnnext 63 sessions
DECK+1.93%
LULU+1%
Range of outcomes63 sessions, 80% band
DECK−21.1% to +24.9%
LULU−31.8% to +33.8%
Chance of a risenext 63 sessionsMembers only · see plans
Long-run fair valueintrinsic value model
DECK—The model's fair value falls outside its own interval or at the gap clamp, so it is not a measurement.
LULU$143.7528 Oct 2026
Gap to pricefair value against the close
DECK—The model's fair value falls outside its own interval or at the gap clamp, so it is not a measurement.
LULU+36.6%
Past readings that matchedsign of the 21-session outcome
DECK43.5%of 269
LULU39.8%of 269
Price performance

How the prices moved

Price change over each period, with the S&P 500 (SPY) for comparison.

Closes to
1 monthS&P 500: +1.1%
DECK+3.9%
LULU+8.6%
6 monthsS&P 500: +8.5%
DECK−20.3%
LULU−23.8%
Year to dateS&P 500: +13.3%
DECK−22.1%
LULU−49.4%
1 yearS&P 500: +12.7%
DECK−10.8%
LULU−42%
5 yearsS&P 500: +70.7%
DECK+34.8%
LULU−74.6%
1 year against the S&P 500percentage points
DECK−23.5 pts
LULU−54.7 pts
Position in the 52-week range0% low, 100% high
DECK8%close $80.74 in $77.20 to $122.29
LULU11%close $105.22 in $90.38 to $225.98
Against the 200-day average
DECK−18.8%
LULU−21.9%
Valuation

What the market pays

Size and the multiples from the latest filed quarter. A P/E on losses reads n/m.

Filings: quarter to (DECK), (LULU)
Market value
DECK$11.19B28 Oct 2026
LULU$11.88B28 Oct 2026
Enterprise valueat the last filing
DECK—Not in the latest filing data.
LULU$13.42B2 Aug 2026
P/Elatest filed
DECK13.6
LULU8.7
Price to book
DECK5.98
LULU2.80
EV / EBITDA
DECK9.09
LULU5.05
Free cash flow yield
DECK8.13%
LULU10.09%
Dividend yield
DECK0%
LULU0%
Questions

Deckers Brands or Lululemon Athletica: common questions

Which is larger by market value, Deckers Brands or Lululemon Athletica?

Lululemon Athletica, at $11.88B against $11.19B for Deckers Brands, on the latest closes (28 Oct 2026).

Which has the higher P/E ratio, Deckers Brands or Lululemon Athletica?

Deckers Brands has the higher latest filed P/E, 13.6; Lululemon Athletica's is 8.7. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026 and 2 Aug 2026.

How did Deckers Brands and Lululemon Athletica move over the past year against the S&P 500?

Over the past year Deckers Brands returned −10.8% and Lululemon Athletica −42%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

What does the model expect for Deckers Brands and Lululemon Athletica over the next month?

+0.55% for Deckers Brands with a 82% chance of a rise, and −0.25% for Lululemon Athletica with a 47% chance, over the next 21 sessions. Model readings 28 Oct 2026. These are model readings, not advice.

How do the operating margins of Deckers Brands and Lululemon Athletica compare?

The operating margin is 15.2% for Deckers Brands and 18.8% for Lululemon Athletica, and the gross margin 56.4% against 60.5%. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026 and 2 Aug 2026.

Do Deckers Brands and Lululemon Athletica shares move together?

Over the past year the correlation of their daily returns was 0.39 (loosely together); 1 means they always move together, 0 unrelated, −1 opposite. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

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The two company pagesDeckers Brands (DECK) forecast and analysisLululemon Athletica (LULU) forecast and analysis
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BrowseAll Consumer Discretionary companiesAll comparisonsHow the model readings are made

Model readings are research estimates, not investment advice. Prices: daily closes. Fundamentals: the latest SEC filings. Short interest: FINRA, settlement 30 Sep 2026. A dash means the figure is not in our data; it is never shown as zero. The model view follows a published rule: next month by the sign of the expected return, the long run positive at a fair value 10% or more above the price and negative at 10% or more below it.