S&P 500 comparison · Industrials

Delta Air Lines vs United Airlines Holdings

Prices at close . Model readings .

Delta Air Lines

$80.35−1.35%
Month: positiveLong run: neutral

United Airlines Holdings

$103.43−1.22%
Month: positiveLong run: neutral
Price change

Price change, with the S&P 500 as a benchmark

Percent change in each close since the start of the chosen range, for both companies and the S&P 500 (SPY). Daily closes over the last year, weekly before that and monthly before five years.

In short

How the two compare

On the latest closes (28 Oct 2026), Delta Air Lines is the larger company by market value ($52.95B against $33.86B). Over the past year Delta Air Lines returned +34% and United Airlines Holdings +4.7%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. The latest filed P/E is 12.7 for Delta Air Lines and 10.6 for United Airlines Holdings, and the operating margin 7.2% against 8.1%. Over the next 21 sessions the model expects +0.23% for Delta Air Lines, with a 78% chance of a rise, and +0.43% for United Airlines Holdings, with a 80% chance. Delta Air Lines' long-run fair value is $73.67, a gap of −8.3% to its price; the long-run model view is neutral. United Airlines Holdings' long-run fair value is $99.13, a gap of −4.2% to its price; the long-run model view is neutral.

Model view

What the model expects

Expected returns and the chance of a rise from our forecasting models, and the long-run fair value against the price. Readings, not advice.

Model readings:
Expected returnnext 21 sessions
DAL+0.23%
UAL+0.43%
Chance of a risenext 21 sessions
DAL78%
UAL80%
Expected returnnext 63 sessions
DAL+2.15%
UAL+2.46%
Range of outcomes63 sessions, 80% band
DAL−19.7% to +24%
UAL−24.2% to +29.1%
Chance of a risenext 63 sessionsMembers only · see plans
Long-run fair valueintrinsic value model
DAL$73.6728 Oct 2026
UAL$99.1328 Oct 2026
Gap to pricefair value against the close
DAL−8.3%
UAL−4.2%
Past readings that matchedsign of the 21-session outcome
DAL61%of 269
UAL48.1%of 269
Price performance

How the prices moved

Price change over each period, with the S&P 500 (SPY) for comparison.

Closes to
1 monthS&P 500: +1.1%
DAL−5.3%
UAL−8.2%
6 monthsS&P 500: +8.5%
DAL+21.9%
UAL+16.7%
Year to dateS&P 500: +13.3%
DAL+16.7%
UAL−7.5%
1 yearS&P 500: +12.7%
DAL+34%
UAL+4.7%
5 yearsS&P 500: +70.7%
DAL+106.6%
UAL+125.1%
1 year against the S&P 500percentage points
DAL+21.3 pts
UAL−8.0 pts
Position in the 52-week range0% low, 100% high
DAL63%close $80.35 in $54.60 to $95.44
UAL35%close $103.43 in $84.64 to $138.77
Against the 200-day average
DAL+5.2%
UAL−4.3%
Valuation

What the market pays

Size and the multiples from the latest filed quarter. A P/E on losses reads n/m.

Filings: quarter to
Market value
DAL$52.95B28 Oct 2026
UAL$33.86B28 Oct 2026
Enterprise valueat the last filing
DAL$60.34B30 Sep 2026
UAL$54.23B30 Sep 2026
P/Elatest filed
DAL12.7
UAL10.6
Price to book
DAL2.44
UAL2.05
EV / EBITDA
DAL7.45
UAL7.00
Free cash flow yield
DAL8.47%
UAL3.07%
Dividend yield
DAL0.94%
UAL0%
Questions

Delta Air Lines or United Airlines Holdings: common questions

Which is larger by market value, Delta Air Lines or United Airlines Holdings?

Delta Air Lines, at $52.95B against $33.86B for United Airlines Holdings, on the latest closes (28 Oct 2026).

Which has the higher P/E ratio, Delta Air Lines or United Airlines Holdings?

Delta Air Lines has the higher latest filed P/E, 12.7; United Airlines Holdings' is 10.6. Filings: quarter to 30 Sep 2026.

How did Delta Air Lines and United Airlines Holdings move over the past year against the S&P 500?

Over the past year Delta Air Lines returned +34% and United Airlines Holdings +4.7%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

What does the model expect for Delta Air Lines and United Airlines Holdings over the next month?

+0.23% for Delta Air Lines with a 78% chance of a rise, and +0.43% for United Airlines Holdings with a 80% chance, over the next 21 sessions. Model readings 28 Oct 2026. These are model readings, not advice.

How do the operating margins of Delta Air Lines and United Airlines Holdings compare?

The operating margin is 7.2% for Delta Air Lines and 8.1% for United Airlines Holdings, and the gross margin 7.2% against 8.1%. Filings: quarter to 30 Sep 2026.

Do Delta Air Lines and United Airlines Holdings shares move together?

Over the past year the correlation of their daily returns was 0.90 (closely together); 1 means they always move together, 0 unrelated, −1 opposite. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

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The two company pagesDelta Air Lines (DAL) forecast and analysisUnited Airlines Holdings (UAL) forecast and analysis
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BrowseAll Industrials companiesAll comparisonsHow the model readings are made

Model readings are research estimates, not investment advice. Prices: daily closes. Fundamentals: the latest SEC filings. Short interest: FINRA, settlement 30 Sep 2026. A dash means the figure is not in our data; it is never shown as zero. The model view follows a published rule: next month by the sign of the expected return, the long run positive at a fair value 10% or more above the price and negative at 10% or more below it.