S&P 500 comparison · Energy

Chevron Corporation vs ExxonMobil

Prices at close . Model readings .

Chevron Corporation

$229.20+0.43%
Month: negativeLong run: neutral

ExxonMobil

$182.02+1.17%
Month: negativeLong run: neutral
Price change

Price change, with the S&P 500 as a benchmark

Percent change in each close since the start of the chosen range, for both companies and the S&P 500 (SPY). Daily closes over the last year, weekly before that and monthly before five years.

In short

How the two compare

On the latest closes (28 Oct 2026), ExxonMobil is the larger company by market value ($792.33B against $452.85B). Over the past year Chevron Corporation returned +53.4% and ExxonMobil +61.5%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. The latest filed P/E is 15.0 for Chevron Corporation and 20.2 for ExxonMobil, and the operating margin 37.1% against 4%. Over the next 21 sessions the model expects −0.77% for Chevron Corporation, with a 19% chance of a rise, and −0.63% for ExxonMobil, with a 19% chance. Chevron Corporation's long-run fair value is $231.56, a gap of +1% to its price; the long-run model view is neutral. ExxonMobil's long-run fair value is $182.67, a gap of +0.4% to its price; the long-run model view is neutral.

Model view

What the model expects

Expected returns and the chance of a rise from our forecasting models, and the long-run fair value against the price. Readings, not advice.

Model readings:
Expected returnnext 21 sessions
CVX−0.77%
XOM−0.63%
Chance of a risenext 21 sessions
CVX19%
XOM19%
Expected returnnext 63 sessions
CVX−0.09%
XOM−0.14%
Range of outcomes63 sessions, 80% band
CVX−22.9% to +22.7%
XOM−23.5% to +23.2%
Chance of a risenext 63 sessionsMembers only · see plans
Long-run fair valueintrinsic value model
CVX$231.5628 Oct 2026
XOM$182.6728 Oct 2026
Gap to pricefair value against the close
CVX+1%
XOM+0.4%
Past readings that matchedsign of the 21-session outcome
CVX59.1%of 269
XOM49.1%of 269
Price performance

How the prices moved

Price change over each period, with the S&P 500 (SPY) for comparison.

Closes to
1 monthS&P 500: +1.1%
CVX+12.1%
XOM+12.8%
6 monthsS&P 500: +8.5%
CVX+21.4%
XOM+19.2%
Year to dateS&P 500: +13.3%
CVX+54.6%
XOM+54.3%
1 yearS&P 500: +12.7%
CVX+53.4%
XOM+61.5%
5 yearsS&P 500: +70.7%
CVX+147.5%
XOM+239.7%
1 year against the S&P 500percentage points
CVX+40.7 pts
XOM+48.8 pts
Position in the 52-week range0% low, 100% high
CVX95%close $229.20 in $142.51 to $234.08
XOM96%close $182.02 in $109.34 to $184.88
Against the 200-day average
CVX+20.3%
XOM+19.1%
Valuation

What the market pays

Size and the multiples from the latest filed quarter. A P/E on losses reads n/m.

Filings: quarter to
Market value
CVX$452.85B28 Oct 2026
XOM$792.33B28 Oct 2026
Enterprise valueat the last filing
CVX$327.90B30 Jun 2026
XOM$628.00B30 Jun 2026
P/Elatest filed
CVX15.0
XOM20.2
Price to book
CVX1.67
XOM2.20
EV / EBITDA
CVX3.67
XOM21.34
Free cash flow yield
CVX8.25%
XOM3.08%
Dividend yield
CVX4.23%
XOM2.17%
Questions

Chevron Corporation or ExxonMobil: common questions

Which is larger by market value, Chevron Corporation or ExxonMobil?

ExxonMobil, at $792.33B against $452.85B for Chevron Corporation, on the latest closes (28 Oct 2026).

Which has the higher P/E ratio, Chevron Corporation or ExxonMobil?

ExxonMobil has the higher latest filed P/E, 20.2; Chevron Corporation's is 15.0. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026.

How did Chevron Corporation and ExxonMobil move over the past year against the S&P 500?

Over the past year Chevron Corporation returned +53.4% and ExxonMobil +61.5%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

What does the model expect for Chevron Corporation and ExxonMobil over the next month?

−0.77% for Chevron Corporation with a 19% chance of a rise, and −0.63% for ExxonMobil with a 19% chance, over the next 21 sessions. Model readings 28 Oct 2026. These are model readings, not advice.

How do the operating margins of Chevron Corporation and ExxonMobil compare?

The operating margin is 37.1% for Chevron Corporation and 4% for ExxonMobil, and the gross margin 47.8% against 13.9%. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026.

Do Chevron Corporation and ExxonMobil shares move together?

Over the past year the correlation of their daily returns was 0.85 (closely together); 1 means they always move together, 0 unrelated, −1 opposite. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

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The two company pagesChevron Corporation (CVX) forecast and analysisExxonMobil (XOM) forecast and analysis
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Model readings are research estimates, not investment advice. Prices: daily closes. Fundamentals: the latest SEC filings. Short interest: FINRA, settlement 30 Sep 2026. A dash means the figure is not in our data; it is never shown as zero. The model view follows a published rule: next month by the sign of the expected return, the long run positive at a fair value 10% or more above the price and negative at 10% or more below it.