S&P 500 comparison · Energy

ConocoPhillips vs Diamondback Energy

Prices at close . Model readings .

ConocoPhillips

$149.06+0.74%
Month: negativeLong run: negative

Diamondback Energy

$206.22+0.85%
Month: negativeLong run: neutral
Price change

Price change, with the S&P 500 as a benchmark

Percent change in each close since the start of the chosen range, for both companies and the S&P 500 (SPY). Daily closes over the last year, weekly before that and monthly before five years.

In short

How the two compare

On the latest closes (28 Oct 2026), ConocoPhillips is the larger company by market value ($181.00B against $57.99B). Over the past year ConocoPhillips returned +73.4% and Diamondback Energy +46.3%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. The latest filed P/E is 12.7 for ConocoPhillips and 17.4 for Diamondback Energy, and the operating margin 52.3% against 45.2%. Over the next 21 sessions the model expects −0.56% for ConocoPhillips, with a 27% chance of a rise, and −0.86% for Diamondback Energy, with a 23% chance. ConocoPhillips' long-run fair value is $125.76, a gap of −15.6% to its price; the long-run model view is negative. Diamondback Energy's long-run fair value is $208.38, a gap of +1.1% to its price; the long-run model view is neutral.

Model view

What the model expects

Expected returns and the chance of a rise from our forecasting models, and the long-run fair value against the price. Readings, not advice.

Model readings:
Expected returnnext 21 sessions
COP−0.56%
FANG−0.86%
Chance of a risenext 21 sessions
COP27%
FANG23%
Expected returnnext 63 sessions
COP+0.14%
FANG−0.34%
Range of outcomes63 sessions, 80% band
COP−26.3% to +26.6%
FANG−28% to +27.4%
Chance of a risenext 63 sessionsMembers only · see plans
Long-run fair valueintrinsic value model
COP$125.7628 Oct 2026
FANG$208.3828 Oct 2026
Gap to pricefair value against the close
COP−15.6%
FANG+1.1%
Past readings that matchedsign of the 21-session outcome
COP51.3%of 269
FANG56.3%of 269
Price performance

How the prices moved

Price change over each period, with the S&P 500 (SPY) for comparison.

Closes to
1 monthS&P 500: +1.1%
COP+18.8%
FANG+12.1%
6 monthsS&P 500: +8.5%
COP+17.9%
FANG+1.5%
Year to dateS&P 500: +13.3%
COP+62.7%
FANG+39.5%
1 yearS&P 500: +12.7%
COP+73.4%
FANG+46.3%
5 yearsS&P 500: +70.7%
COP+134.1%
FANG+129.3%
1 year against the S&P 500percentage points
COP+60.7 pts
FANG+33.5 pts
Position in the 52-week range0% low, 100% high
COP95%close $149.06 in $82.95 to $152.77
FANG87%close $206.22 in $133.81 to $216.90
Against the 200-day average
COP+24.5%
FANG+9.8%
Valuation

What the market pays

Size and the multiples from the latest filed quarter. A P/E on losses reads n/m.

Filings: quarter to
Market value
COP$181.00B28 Oct 2026
FANG$57.99B28 Oct 2026
Enterprise valueat the last filing
COP$142.95B30 Jun 2026
FANG$61.58B30 Jun 2026
P/Elatest filed
COP12.7
FANG17.4
Price to book
COP1.93
FANG1.12
EV / EBITDA
COP3.44
FANG8.02
Free cash flow yield
COP17.37%
FANG14.83%
Dividend yield
COP3.22%
FANG2.39%
Questions

ConocoPhillips or Diamondback Energy: common questions

Which is larger by market value, ConocoPhillips or Diamondback Energy?

ConocoPhillips, at $181.00B against $57.99B for Diamondback Energy, on the latest closes (28 Oct 2026).

Which has the higher P/E ratio, ConocoPhillips or Diamondback Energy?

Diamondback Energy has the higher latest filed P/E, 17.4; ConocoPhillips' is 12.7. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026.

How did ConocoPhillips and Diamondback Energy move over the past year against the S&P 500?

Over the past year ConocoPhillips returned +73.4% and Diamondback Energy +46.3%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

What does the model expect for ConocoPhillips and Diamondback Energy over the next month?

−0.56% for ConocoPhillips with a 27% chance of a rise, and −0.86% for Diamondback Energy with a 23% chance, over the next 21 sessions. Model readings 28 Oct 2026. These are model readings, not advice.

How do the operating margins of ConocoPhillips and Diamondback Energy compare?

The operating margin is 52.3% for ConocoPhillips and 45.2% for Diamondback Energy, and the gross margin 65% against 45.2%. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026.

Do ConocoPhillips and Diamondback Energy shares move together?

Over the past year the correlation of their daily returns was 0.79 (often together); 1 means they always move together, 0 unrelated, −1 opposite. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

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The two company pagesConocoPhillips (COP) forecast and analysisDiamondback Energy (FANG) forecast and analysis
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Model readings are research estimates, not investment advice. Prices: daily closes. Fundamentals: the latest SEC filings. Short interest: FINRA, settlement 30 Sep 2026. A dash means the figure is not in our data; it is never shown as zero. The model view follows a published rule: next month by the sign of the expected return, the long run positive at a fair value 10% or more above the price and negative at 10% or more below it.