S&P 500 comparison · Industrials

C.H. Robinson vs United Parcel Service

Prices at close . Model readings .

C.H. Robinson

$127.60−11.14%
Month: positiveLong run: positive

United Parcel Service

$105.62−0.44%
Month: positiveLong run: neutral
Price change

Price change, with the S&P 500 as a benchmark

Percent change in each close since the start of the chosen range, for both companies and the S&P 500 (SPY). Daily closes over the last year, weekly before that and monthly before five years.

In short

How the two compare

On the latest closes (28 Oct 2026), United Parcel Service is the larger company by market value ($89.88B against $15.28B). Over the past year C.H. Robinson returned −0.1% and United Parcel Service +26.2%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. The latest filed P/E is 36.3 for C.H. Robinson and 24.7 for United Parcel Service, and the operating margin 5.2% against 4.1%. Over the next 21 sessions the model expects +0.78% for C.H. Robinson, with a 83% chance of a rise, and +0.21% for United Parcel Service, with a 61% chance. C.H. Robinson's long-run fair value is $153.09, a gap of +20% to its price; the long-run model view is positive. United Parcel Service's long-run fair value is $100.31, a gap of −5% to its price; the long-run model view is neutral.

Model view

What the model expects

Expected returns and the chance of a rise from our forecasting models, and the long-run fair value against the price. Readings, not advice.

Model readings:
Expected returnnext 21 sessions
CHRW+0.78%
UPS+0.21%
Chance of a risenext 21 sessions
CHRW83%
UPS61%
Expected returnnext 63 sessions
CHRW+1.3%
UPS+1.63%
Range of outcomes63 sessions, 80% band
CHRW−28.9% to +31.5%
UPS−18.4% to +21.7%
Chance of a risenext 63 sessionsMembers only · see plans
Long-run fair valueintrinsic value model
CHRW$153.0928 Oct 2026
UPS$100.3128 Oct 2026
Gap to pricefair value against the close
CHRW+20%
UPS−5%
Past readings that matchedsign of the 21-session outcome
CHRW64.7%of 269
UPS59.9%of 269
Price performance

How the prices moved

Price change over each period, with the S&P 500 (SPY) for comparison.

Closes to
1 monthS&P 500: +1.1%
CHRW−14.8%
UPS+12.4%
6 monthsS&P 500: +8.5%
CHRW−31.3%
UPS+2.3%
Year to dateS&P 500: +13.3%
CHRW−20.1%
UPS+11.5%
1 yearS&P 500: +12.7%
CHRW−0.1%
UPS+26.2%
5 yearsS&P 500: +70.7%
CHRW+44.7%
UPS−31.5%
1 year against the S&P 500percentage points
CHRW−12.8 pts
UPS+13.5 pts
Position in the 52-week range0% low, 100% high
CHRW3%close $127.60 in $125.46 to $210.33
UPS64%close $105.62 in $85.48 to $116.86
Against the 200-day average
CHRW−24.7%
UPS+3.1%
Valuation

What the market pays

Size and the multiples from the latest filed quarter. A P/E on losses reads n/m.

Filings: quarter to
Market value
CHRW$15.28B28 Oct 2026
UPS$89.88B28 Oct 2026
Enterprise valueat the last filing
CHRW$24.08B30 Jun 2026
UPS$111.31B30 Jun 2026
P/Elatest filed
CHRW36.3
UPS24.7
Price to book
CHRW13.86
UPS6.06
EV / EBITDA
CHRW25.75
UPS11.05
Free cash flow yield
CHRW2.97%
UPS5.97%
Dividend yield
CHRW1.34%
UPS5.91%
Questions

C.H. Robinson or United Parcel Service: common questions

Which is larger by market value, C.H. Robinson or United Parcel Service?

United Parcel Service, at $89.88B against $15.28B for C.H. Robinson, on the latest closes (28 Oct 2026).

Which has the higher P/E ratio, C.H. Robinson or United Parcel Service?

C.H. Robinson has the higher latest filed P/E, 36.3; United Parcel Service's is 24.7. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026.

How did C.H. Robinson and United Parcel Service move over the past year against the S&P 500?

Over the past year C.H. Robinson returned −0.1% and United Parcel Service +26.2%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

What does the model expect for C.H. Robinson and United Parcel Service over the next month?

+0.78% for C.H. Robinson with a 83% chance of a rise, and +0.21% for United Parcel Service with a 61% chance, over the next 21 sessions. Model readings 28 Oct 2026. These are model readings, not advice.

How do the operating margins of C.H. Robinson and United Parcel Service compare?

The operating margin is 5.2% for C.H. Robinson and 4.1% for United Parcel Service, and the gross margin 5.2% against 4.1%. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026.

Do C.H. Robinson and United Parcel Service shares move together?

Over the past year the correlation of their daily returns was 0.32 (loosely together); 1 means they always move together, 0 unrelated, −1 opposite. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

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The two company pagesC.H. Robinson (CHRW) forecast and analysisUnited Parcel Service (UPS) forecast and analysis
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BrowseAll Industrials companiesAll comparisonsHow the model readings are made

Model readings are research estimates, not investment advice. Prices: daily closes. Fundamentals: the latest SEC filings. Short interest: FINRA, settlement 30 Sep 2026. A dash means the figure is not in our data; it is never shown as zero. The model view follows a published rule: next month by the sign of the expected return, the long run positive at a fair value 10% or more above the price and negative at 10% or more below it.