S&P 500 comparison · Financials

Citizens Financial Group vs KeyCorp

Prices at close . Model readings .

Citizens Financial Group

$65.27−0.06%
Month: negativeLong run: neutral

KeyCorp

$21.20+0.24%
Month: negativeLong run: neutral
Price change

Price change, with the S&P 500 as a benchmark

Percent change in each close since the start of the chosen range, for both companies and the S&P 500 (SPY). Daily closes over the last year, weekly before that and monthly before five years.

In short

How the two compare

On the latest closes (28 Oct 2026), Citizens Financial Group is the larger company by market value ($27.78B against $22.90B). Over the past year Citizens Financial Group returned +29.5% and KeyCorp +24.1%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. The latest filed P/E is 13.8 for Citizens Financial Group and 13.0 for KeyCorp, and the operating margin 0% against 0%. Over the next 21 sessions the model expects −0.82% for Citizens Financial Group, with a 47% chance of a rise, and −0.93% for KeyCorp, with a 47% chance. Citizens Financial Group's long-run fair value is $61.13, a gap of −6.4% to its price; the long-run model view is neutral. KeyCorp's long-run fair value is $20.83, a gap of −1.7% to its price; the long-run model view is neutral.

Model view

What the model expects

Expected returns and the chance of a rise from our forecasting models, and the long-run fair value against the price. Readings, not advice.

Model readings:
Expected returnnext 21 sessions
CFG−0.82%
KEY−0.93%
Chance of a risenext 21 sessions
CFG47%
KEY47%
Expected returnnext 63 sessions
CFG+1.58%
KEY+1.73%
Range of outcomes63 sessions, 80% band
CFG−16.7% to +19.8%
KEY−17.2% to +20.7%
Chance of a risenext 63 sessionsMembers only · see plans
Long-run fair valueintrinsic value model
CFG$61.1328 Oct 2026
KEY$20.8328 Oct 2026
Gap to pricefair value against the close
CFG−6.4%
KEY−1.7%
Past readings that matchedsign of the 21-session outcome
CFG53.2%of 269
KEY45.7%of 269
Price performance

How the prices moved

Price change over each period, with the S&P 500 (SPY) for comparison.

Closes to
1 monthS&P 500: +1.1%
CFG+2.2%
KEY+5.4%
6 monthsS&P 500: +8.5%
CFG+2.7%
KEY−1.2%
Year to dateS&P 500: +13.3%
CFG+14.1%
KEY+4.8%
1 yearS&P 500: +12.7%
CFG+29.5%
KEY+24.1%
5 yearsS&P 500: +70.7%
CFG+57.5%
KEY+12.9%
1 year against the S&P 500percentage points
CFG+16.8 pts
KEY+11.4 pts
Position in the 52-week range0% low, 100% high
CFG63%close $65.27 in $48.00 to $75.33
KEY63%close $21.20 in $16.40 to $24.07
Against the 200-day average
CFG+0.3%
KEY−1%
Valuation

What the market pays

Size and the multiples from the latest filed quarter. A P/E on losses reads n/m.

Filings: quarter to (CFG), (KEY)
Market value
CFG$27.78B28 Oct 2026
KEY$22.90B28 Oct 2026
Enterprise valueat the last filing
CFG$44.97B30 Sep 2026
KEY$39.54B30 Jun 2026
P/Elatest filed
CFG13.8
KEY13.0
Price to book
CFG1.08
KEY1.26
EV / EBITDA
CFG14.00
KEY13.61
Free cash flow yield
CFG4.64%
KEY4.82%
Dividend yield
CFG2.83%
KEY4.19%
Questions

Citizens Financial Group or KeyCorp: common questions

Which is larger by market value, Citizens Financial Group or KeyCorp?

Citizens Financial Group, at $27.78B against $22.90B for KeyCorp, on the latest closes (28 Oct 2026).

Which has the higher P/E ratio, Citizens Financial Group or KeyCorp?

Citizens Financial Group has the higher latest filed P/E, 13.8; KeyCorp's is 13.0. Filings: quarter to 30 Sep 2026 and 30 Jun 2026.

How did Citizens Financial Group and KeyCorp move over the past year against the S&P 500?

Over the past year Citizens Financial Group returned +29.5% and KeyCorp +24.1%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

What does the model expect for Citizens Financial Group and KeyCorp over the next month?

−0.82% for Citizens Financial Group with a 47% chance of a rise, and −0.93% for KeyCorp with a 47% chance, over the next 21 sessions. Model readings 28 Oct 2026. These are model readings, not advice.

How do the operating margins of Citizens Financial Group and KeyCorp compare?

The operating margin is 0% for Citizens Financial Group and 0% for KeyCorp. Filings: quarter to 30 Sep 2026 and 30 Jun 2026.

Do Citizens Financial Group and KeyCorp shares move together?

Over the past year the correlation of their daily returns was 0.89 (closely together); 1 means they always move together, 0 unrelated, −1 opposite. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

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The two company pagesCitizens Financial Group (CFG) forecast and analysisKeyCorp (KEY) forecast and analysis
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BrowseAll Financials companiesAll comparisonsHow the model readings are made

Model readings are research estimates, not investment advice. Prices: daily closes. Fundamentals: the latest SEC filings. Short interest: FINRA, settlement 30 Sep 2026. A dash means the figure is not in our data; it is never shown as zero. The model view follows a published rule: next month by the sign of the expected return, the long run positive at a fair value 10% or more above the price and negative at 10% or more below it.