S&P 500 comparison · Financials

Citigroup vs U.S. Bancorp

Prices at close . Model readings .

Citigroup

$124.11+1.16%
Month: negativeLong run: neutral

U.S. Bancorp

$59.60−0.23%
Month: negativeLong run: neutral
Price change

Price change, with the S&P 500 as a benchmark

Percent change in each close since the start of the chosen range, for both companies and the S&P 500 (SPY). Daily closes over the last year, weekly before that and monthly before five years.

In short

How the two compare

On the latest closes (28 Oct 2026), Citigroup is the larger company by market value ($231.17B against $92.86B). Over the past year Citigroup returned +25.5% and U.S. Bancorp +28.3%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. The latest filed P/E is 18.6 for Citigroup and 11.9 for U.S. Bancorp, and the operating margin 51.9% against 0%. Over the next 21 sessions the model expects −0.86% for Citigroup, with a 16% chance of a rise, and −0.77% for U.S. Bancorp, with a 44% chance. Citigroup's long-run fair value is $127.40, a gap of +2.7% to its price; the long-run model view is neutral. U.S. Bancorp's long-run fair value is $60.82, a gap of +2% to its price; the long-run model view is neutral.

Model view

What the model expects

Expected returns and the chance of a rise from our forecasting models, and the long-run fair value against the price. Readings, not advice.

Model readings:
Expected returnnext 21 sessions
C−0.86%
USB−0.77%
Chance of a risenext 21 sessions
C16%
USB44%
Expected returnnext 63 sessions
C+1.13%
USB+1.71%
Range of outcomes63 sessions, 80% band
C−18.9% to +21.2%
USB−16.5% to +19.9%
Chance of a risenext 63 sessionsMembers only · see plans
Long-run fair valueintrinsic value model
C$127.4028 Oct 2026
USB$60.8228 Oct 2026
Gap to pricefair value against the close
C+2.7%
USB+2%
Past readings that matchedsign of the 21-session outcome
C60.2%of 269
USB44.6%of 269
Price performance

How the prices moved

Price change over each period, with the S&P 500 (SPY) for comparison.

Closes to
1 monthS&P 500: +1.1%
C−5.1%
USB+3.5%
6 monthsS&P 500: +8.5%
C−1.8%
USB+7%
Year to dateS&P 500: +13.3%
C+8%
USB+13.8%
1 yearS&P 500: +12.7%
C+25.5%
USB+28.3%
5 yearsS&P 500: +70.7%
C+105%
USB+17.6%
1 year against the S&P 500percentage points
C+12.8 pts
USB+15.6 pts
Position in the 52-week range0% low, 100% high
C56%close $124.11 in $94.40 to $147.21
USB71%close $59.60 in $43.76 to $66.08
Against the 200-day average
C−1.3%
USB+3.7%
Valuation

What the market pays

Size and the multiples from the latest filed quarter. A P/E on losses reads n/m.

Filings: quarter to
Market value
C$231.17B28 Oct 2026
USB$92.86B28 Oct 2026
Enterprise valueat the last filing
C$440.29B30 Jun 2026
USB$131.44B30 Jun 2026
P/Elatest filed
C18.6
USB11.9
Price to book
C1.22
USB1.39
EV / EBITDA
C16.81
USB10.48
Free cash flow yield
C−13.74%
USB13.16%
Dividend yield
C1.55%
USB3.43%
Questions

Citigroup or U.S. Bancorp: common questions

Which is larger by market value, Citigroup or U.S. Bancorp?

Citigroup, at $231.17B against $92.86B for U.S. Bancorp, on the latest closes (28 Oct 2026).

Which has the higher P/E ratio, Citigroup or U.S. Bancorp?

Citigroup has the higher latest filed P/E, 18.6; U.S. Bancorp's is 11.9. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026.

How did Citigroup and U.S. Bancorp move over the past year against the S&P 500?

Over the past year Citigroup returned +25.5% and U.S. Bancorp +28.3%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

What does the model expect for Citigroup and U.S. Bancorp over the next month?

−0.86% for Citigroup with a 16% chance of a rise, and −0.77% for U.S. Bancorp with a 44% chance, over the next 21 sessions. Model readings 28 Oct 2026. These are model readings, not advice.

How do the operating margins of Citigroup and U.S. Bancorp compare?

The operating margin is 51.9% for Citigroup and 0% for U.S. Bancorp. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026.

Do Citigroup and U.S. Bancorp shares move together?

Over the past year the correlation of their daily returns was 0.65 (often together); 1 means they always move together, 0 unrelated, −1 opposite. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

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The two company pagesCitigroup (C) forecast and analysisU.S. Bancorp (USB) forecast and analysis
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BrowseAll Financials companiesAll comparisonsHow the model readings are made

Model readings are research estimates, not investment advice. Prices: daily closes. Fundamentals: the latest SEC filings. Short interest: FINRA, settlement 30 Sep 2026. A dash means the figure is not in our data; it is never shown as zero. The model view follows a published rule: next month by the sign of the expected return, the long run positive at a fair value 10% or more above the price and negative at 10% or more below it.