S&P 500 comparison · Health Care

Bristol Myers Squibb vs Merck & Co.

Prices at close . Model readings .

Bristol Myers Squibb

$60.57−1.59%
Month: positiveLong run: positive

Merck & Co.

$140.93−0.63%
Month: negativeLong run: neutral
Price change

Price change, with the S&P 500 as a benchmark

Percent change in each close since the start of the chosen range, for both companies and the S&P 500 (SPY). Daily closes over the last year, weekly before that and monthly before five years.

In short

How the two compare

On the latest closes (28 Oct 2026), Merck & Co. is the larger company by market value ($358.95B against $124.05B). Over the past year Bristol Myers Squibb returned +44.3% and Merck & Co. +63.9%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. The latest filed P/E is 13.0 for Bristol Myers Squibb and 760.8 for Merck & Co., and the operating margin 22.6% against -0.5%. Over the next 21 sessions the model expects +0.09% for Bristol Myers Squibb, with a 57% chance of a rise, and −0.34% for Merck & Co., with a 37% chance. Bristol Myers Squibb's long-run fair value is $67.39, a gap of +11.3% to its price; the long-run model view is positive. Merck & Co.'s long-run fair value is $131.14, a gap of −6.9% to its price; the long-run model view is neutral.

Model view

What the model expects

Expected returns and the chance of a rise from our forecasting models, and the long-run fair value against the price. Readings, not advice.

Model readings:
Expected returnnext 21 sessions
BMY+0.09%
MRK−0.34%
Chance of a risenext 21 sessions
BMY57%
MRK37%
Expected returnnext 63 sessions
BMY+1.84%
MRK+0.84%
Range of outcomes63 sessions, 80% band
BMY−20.4% to +24%
MRK−20.5% to +22.2%
Chance of a risenext 63 sessionsMembers only · see plans
Long-run fair valueintrinsic value model
BMY$67.3928 Oct 2026
MRK$131.1428 Oct 2026
Gap to pricefair value against the close
BMY+11.3%
MRK−6.9%
Past readings that matchedsign of the 21-session outcome
BMY59%of 269
MRK74%of 269
Price performance

How the prices moved

Price change over each period, with the S&P 500 (SPY) for comparison.

Closes to
1 monthS&P 500: +1.1%
BMY−2.6%
MRK−5.6%
6 monthsS&P 500: +8.5%
BMY+6.4%
MRK+27.9%
Year to dateS&P 500: +13.3%
BMY+16.1%
MRK+35.8%
1 yearS&P 500: +12.7%
BMY+44.3%
MRK+63.9%
5 yearsS&P 500: +70.7%
BMY+27%
MRK+101.4%
1 year against the S&P 500percentage points
BMY+31.6 pts
MRK+51.2 pts
Position in the 52-week range0% low, 100% high
BMY71%close $60.57 in $41.13 to $68.64
MRK80%close $140.93 in $80.14 to $156.00
Against the 200-day average
BMY+2.2%
MRK+12.2%
Valuation

What the market pays

Size and the multiples from the latest filed quarter. A P/E on losses reads n/m.

Filings: quarter to (BMY), (MRK)
Market value
BMY$124.05B28 Oct 2026
MRK$358.95B28 Oct 2026
Enterprise valueat the last filing
BMY$152.40B30 Jun 2026
MRK$305.89B31 Dec 2023
P/Elatest filed
BMY13.0
MRK760.8
Price to book
BMY5.29
MRK7.38
EV / EBITDA
BMY9.75
MRK202.44
Free cash flow yield
BMY9.69%
MRK3.29%
Dividend yield
BMY4.32%
MRK2.68%
Questions

Bristol Myers Squibb or Merck & Co.: common questions

Which is larger by market value, Bristol Myers Squibb or Merck & Co.?

Merck & Co., at $358.95B against $124.05B for Bristol Myers Squibb, on the latest closes (28 Oct 2026).

Which has the higher P/E ratio, Bristol Myers Squibb or Merck & Co.?

Merck & Co. has the higher latest filed P/E, 760.8; Bristol Myers Squibb's is 13.0. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026 and 31 Dec 2023.

How did Bristol Myers Squibb and Merck & Co. move over the past year against the S&P 500?

Over the past year Bristol Myers Squibb returned +44.3% and Merck & Co. +63.9%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

What does the model expect for Bristol Myers Squibb and Merck & Co. over the next month?

+0.09% for Bristol Myers Squibb with a 57% chance of a rise, and −0.34% for Merck & Co. with a 37% chance, over the next 21 sessions. Model readings 28 Oct 2026. These are model readings, not advice.

How do the operating margins of Bristol Myers Squibb and Merck & Co. compare?

The operating margin is 22.6% for Bristol Myers Squibb and -0.5% for Merck & Co., and the gross margin 71.3% against 73.2%. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026 and 31 Dec 2023.

Do Bristol Myers Squibb and Merck & Co. shares move together?

Over the past year the correlation of their daily returns was 0.46 (loosely together); 1 means they always move together, 0 unrelated, −1 opposite. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

In the consoleCompare up to four companies with every model readingMembers see the 63-session chance of a rise and all four horizons, side by side in Research › Compare.
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The two company pagesBristol Myers Squibb (BMY) forecast and analysisMerck & Co. (MRK) forecast and analysis
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BrowseAll Health Care companiesAll comparisonsHow the model readings are made

Model readings are research estimates, not investment advice. Prices: daily closes. Fundamentals: the latest SEC filings. Short interest: FINRA, settlement 30 Sep 2026. A dash means the figure is not in our data; it is never shown as zero. The model view follows a published rule: next month by the sign of the expected return, the long run positive at a fair value 10% or more above the price and negative at 10% or more below it.