S&P 500 comparison · Materials

Amcor vs International Paper

Prices at close . Model readings .

Amcor

$45.66−0.61%
Month: negativeLong run: negative

International Paper

$34.48+3.3%
Month: negativeLong run: neutral
Price change

Price change, with the S&P 500 as a benchmark

Percent change in each close since the start of the chosen range, for both companies and the S&P 500 (SPY). Daily closes over the last year, weekly before that and monthly before five years.

In short

How the two compare

On the latest closes (28 Oct 2026), Amcor is the larger company by market value ($21.18B against $18.26B). Over the past year Amcor returned +13.7% and International Paper −24.9%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. The operating margin is 8.1% for Amcor and 10% for International Paper. Over the next 21 sessions the model expects −0.6% for Amcor, with a 24% chance of a rise, and −0.49% for International Paper, with a 20% chance. Amcor's long-run fair value is $37.67, a gap of −17.5% to its price; the long-run model view is negative. International Paper's long-run fair value is $31.78, a gap of −7.8% to its price; the long-run model view is neutral.

Model view

What the model expects

Expected returns and the chance of a rise from our forecasting models, and the long-run fair value against the price. Readings, not advice.

Model readings:
Expected returnnext 21 sessions
AMCR−0.6%
IP−0.49%
Chance of a risenext 21 sessions
AMCR24%
IP20%
Expected returnnext 63 sessions
AMCR+0.94%
IP+0.46%
Range of outcomes63 sessions, 80% band
AMCR−16.7% to +18.6%
IP−22.3% to +23.2%
Chance of a risenext 63 sessionsMembers only · see plans
Long-run fair valueintrinsic value model
AMCR$37.6728 Oct 2026
IP$31.7828 Oct 2026
Gap to pricefair value against the close
AMCR−17.5%
IP−7.8%
Past readings that matchedsign of the 21-session outcome
AMCR57%of 269
IP42.8%of 269
Price performance

How the prices moved

Price change over each period, with the S&P 500 (SPY) for comparison.

Closes to
1 monthS&P 500: +1.1%
AMCR+7.5%
IP+3.5%
6 monthsS&P 500: +8.5%
AMCR+24.3%
IP+5.4%
Year to dateS&P 500: +13.3%
AMCR+12.8%
IP−9.3%
1 yearS&P 500: +12.7%
AMCR+13.7%
IP−24.9%
5 yearsS&P 500: +70.7%
AMCR−6.9%
IP−19.3%
1 year against the S&P 500percentage points
AMCR+1.0 pts
IP−37.6 pts
Position in the 52-week range0% low, 100% high
AMCR72%close $45.66 in $35.66 to $49.46
IP30%close $34.48 in $28.51 to $48.47
Against the 200-day average
AMCR+7.4%
IP−6.2%
Valuation

What the market pays

Size and the multiples from the latest filed quarter. A P/E on losses reads n/m.

Filings: quarter to
Market value
AMCR$21.18B28 Oct 2026
IP$18.26B28 Oct 2026
Enterprise valueat the last filing
AMCR$32.99B30 Jun 2026
IP$28.67B30 Jun 2026
P/Elatest filed
AMCR18.2
IPn/mA P/E on negative earnings is not a multiple.
Price to book
AMCR1.70
IP1.40
EV / EBITDA
AMCR9.77
IP7.30
Free cash flow yield
AMCR6.11%
IP2.44%
Dividend yield
AMCR5.94%
IP4.85%
Questions

Amcor or International Paper: common questions

Which is larger by market value, Amcor or International Paper?

Amcor, at $21.18B against $18.26B for International Paper, on the latest closes (28 Oct 2026).

Which has the higher P/E ratio, Amcor or International Paper?

Amcor's latest filed P/E is 18.2; International Paper reported losses, so its P/E is not meaningful (n/m). Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026.

How did Amcor and International Paper move over the past year against the S&P 500?

Over the past year Amcor returned +13.7% and International Paper −24.9%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

What does the model expect for Amcor and International Paper over the next month?

−0.6% for Amcor with a 24% chance of a rise, and −0.49% for International Paper with a 20% chance, over the next 21 sessions. Model readings 28 Oct 2026. These are model readings, not advice.

How do the operating margins of Amcor and International Paper compare?

The operating margin is 8.1% for Amcor and 10% for International Paper, and the gross margin 19.9% against 27.6%. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026.

Do Amcor and International Paper shares move together?

Over the past year the correlation of their daily returns was 0.62 (often together); 1 means they always move together, 0 unrelated, −1 opposite. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.

In the consoleCompare up to four companies with every model readingMembers see the 63-session chance of a rise and all four horizons, side by side in Research › Compare.
Open in the console
The two company pagesAmcor (AMCR) forecast and analysisInternational Paper (IP) forecast and analysis
More comparisonsAmcor vs Avery DennisonAmcor vs Ball Corporation
BrowseAll Materials companiesAll comparisonsHow the model readings are made

Model readings are research estimates, not investment advice. Prices: daily closes. Fundamentals: the latest SEC filings. Short interest: FINRA, settlement 30 Sep 2026. A dash means the figure is not in our data; it is never shown as zero. The model view follows a published rule: next month by the sign of the expected return, the long run positive at a fair value 10% or more above the price and negative at 10% or more below it.