Percent change in each close since the start of the chosen range, for both companies and the S&P 500 (SPY). Daily closes over the last year, weekly before that and monthly before five years.
In short
How the two compare
On the latest closes (28 Oct 2026), Airbnb is the larger company by market value ($99.13B against $38.39B). Over the past year Airbnb returned +28.6% and Carnival Corporation −3.1%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. The operating margin is 21% for Airbnb and 26.3% for Carnival Corporation. Over the next 21 sessions the model expects +0.77% for Airbnb, with a 79% chance of a rise, and −0.25% for Carnival Corporation, with a 37% chance. Airbnb's long-run fair value is $123.88, a gap of −25.4% to its price; the long-run model view is negative. Carnival Corporation's long-run fair value is $41.75, a gap of +48.8% to its price; the long-run model view is positive.
Model view
What the model expects
Expected returns and the chance of a rise from our forecasting models, and the long-run fair value against the price. Readings, not advice.
Model readings:
MeasureAirbnb · ABNBCarnival Corporation · CCL
Expected returnnext 21 sessions
ABNB+0.77%
CCL−0.25%
Chance of a risenext 21 sessions
ABNB79%
CCL37%
Expected returnnext 63 sessions
ABNB+2.32%
CCL+1.82%
Range of outcomes63 sessions, 80% band
ABNB−21.5% to +26.1%
CCL−26.2% to +29.8%
Chance of a risenext 63 sessionsMembers only · see plans
Long-run fair valueintrinsic value model
ABNB$123.8828 Oct 2026
CCL$41.7528 Oct 2026
Gap to pricefair value against the close
ABNB−25.4%
CCL+48.8%
Past readings that matchedsign of the 21-session outcome
ABNB41.3%of 269
CCL44.2%of 269
Price performance
How the prices moved
Price change over each period, with the S&P 500 (SPY) for comparison.
Closes to
MeasureAirbnb · ABNBCarnival Corporation · CCL
1 monthS&P 500: +1.1%
ABNB+5.8%
CCL+11.7%
6 monthsS&P 500: +8.5%
ABNB+18.4%
CCL+10.9%
Year to dateS&P 500: +13.3%
ABNB+22.3%
CCL−6.6%
1 yearS&P 500: +12.7%
ABNB+28.6%
CCL−3.1%
5 yearsS&P 500: +70.7%
ABNB−2.2%
CCL+27.1%
1 year against the S&P 500percentage points
ABNB+15.9 pts
CCL−15.8 pts
Position in the 52-week range0% low, 100% high
ABNB67%close $166.04 in $110.81 to $193.45
CCL55%close $28.06 in $21.45 to $33.49
Against the 200-day average
ABNB+13.4%
CCL+4.3%
Valuation
What the market pays
Size and the multiples from the latest filed quarter. A P/E on losses reads n/m.
Filings: quarter to (ABNB), (CCL)
MeasureAirbnb · ABNBCarnival Corporation · CCL
Market value
ABNB$99.13B28 Oct 2026
CCL$38.39B28 Oct 2026
Enterprise valueat the last filing
ABNB$81.09B30 Jun 2026
CCL$53.34B31 Aug 2026
P/Elatest filed
ABNB31.8
CCL—Not measured today.
Price to book
ABNB10.95
CCL2.30
EV / EBITDA
ABNB29.95
CCL—Not in the latest filing data.
Free cash flow yield
ABNB5.69%
CCL—Not in the latest filing data.
Dividend yield
ABNB0%
CCL—Not in the latest filing data.
Profitability
How much of revenue becomes profit
Margins and returns on capital from the latest filing; revenue, net income and earnings per share over the trailing twelve months.
Filings: quarter to (ABNB), (CCL)
MeasureAirbnb · ABNBCarnival Corporation · CCL
Gross margin
ABNB82.5%
CCL—Not in the latest filing data.
Operating margin
ABNB21%
CCL26.3%
Net margin
ABNB22.6%
CCL22.8%
Return on equity
ABNB34.4%
CCL—Not in the latest filing data.
Return on invested capital
ABNB5.5%
CCL4.6%
Revenuetrailing twelve months
ABNB$12.75B
CCL—Not in the latest filing data.
Net incometrailing twelve months
ABNB$2.69B
CCL—Not in the latest filing data.
Earnings per sharetrailing twelve months
ABNB$4.50
CCL—Not in the latest filing data.
Growth
How fast the business grew
Change against the same quarter a year earlier.
Filings: quarter to (ABNB), (CCL)
MeasureAirbnb · ABNBCarnival Corporation · CCL
Revenue growthyear over year
ABNB+16.5%
CCL—Not in the latest filing data.
Earnings growthyear over year
ABNB+27.1%
CCL—Not in the latest filing data.
Free cash flow growthyear over year
ABNB+7.7%
CCL—Not in the latest filing data.
Financial health
Balance sheet and quality scores
Leverage, liquidity and two published scores: Altman Z (below 1.8 the distress zone, above 3 the safe zone) and Piotroski F (0 to 9).
Filings: quarter to (ABNB), (CCL)
MeasureAirbnb · ABNBCarnival Corporation · CCL
Debt to equity
ABNB0.32
CCL1.54
Current ratiocurrent assets over current liabilities
ABNB1.41
CCL0.27
Altman Z-score
ABNB2.64
CCL—Not in the latest filing data.
Piotroski F-scoreout of 9
ABNB6 of 9
CCL6 of 9
Trading and risk
How the shares trade
Volatility, sensitivity to the market, the deepest fall, short interest and how closely the two move together.
Closes to ; FINRA settlement
MeasureAirbnb · ABNBCarnival Corporation · CCL
Volatility21 sessions, annualised
ABNB26.4%
CCL34.1%
Betaagainst the S&P 500, 5 years
ABNB1.50
CCL1.94
Deepest fallpeak to trough, 5 years
ABNB−60.2%
CCL−74.3%
Market regimeour reading at each model date
ABNBStrong risk-off
CCLStrong risk-off
Short interestshare of the float
ABNB3.6%settled 30 Sep 2026
CCL—Not measured today.
Days to covershort shares over average volume
ABNB2.6
CCL1.3
Average volume3 months, shares a day
ABNB4.66M
CCL21.09M
Moving togethercorrelation of daily returns, past year0.41, loosely together−1 opposite0 unrelated+1 together
Questions
Airbnb or Carnival Corporation: common questions
Which is larger by market value, Airbnb or Carnival Corporation?
Airbnb, at $99.13B against $38.39B for Carnival Corporation, on the latest closes (28 Oct 2026).
How did Airbnb and Carnival Corporation move over the past year against the S&P 500?
Over the past year Airbnb returned +28.6% and Carnival Corporation −3.1%, while the S&P 500 returned +12.7%. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.
What does the model expect for Airbnb and Carnival Corporation over the next month?
+0.77% for Airbnb with a 79% chance of a rise, and −0.25% for Carnival Corporation with a 37% chance, over the next 21 sessions. Model readings 28 Oct 2026. These are model readings, not advice.
How do the operating margins of Airbnb and Carnival Corporation compare?
The operating margin is 21% for Airbnb and 26.3% for Carnival Corporation. Filings: quarter to 30 Jun 2026 and 31 Aug 2026.
Do Airbnb and Carnival Corporation shares move together?
Over the past year the correlation of their daily returns was 0.41 (loosely together); 1 means they always move together, 0 unrelated, −1 opposite. Prices at close 28 Oct 2026.
In the consoleCompare up to four companies with every model readingMembers see the 63-session chance of a rise and all four horizons, side by side in Research › Compare.
Model readings are research estimates, not investment advice. Prices: daily closes. Fundamentals: the latest SEC filings. Short interest: FINRA, settlement 30 Sep 2026. A dash means the figure is not in our data; it is never shown as zero. The model view follows a published rule: next month by the sign of the expected return, the long run positive at a fair value 10% or more above the price and negative at 10% or more below it.