The view
Honeywell Aerospace closed at $165.01 on 21 August 2026; the model has no intrinsic value for it today. The published 21-session view is +3.8%, inside a band from −39.3% to +46.9%, with a 83% chance of a rise. Over 63 sessions it is +1.98%.
Next month: why the model view is positive
The market regime reads strong risk-off. Across 200 past situations like today's in US stocks since 1995, the median move over the next 21 sessions was +2.5%, and 69% of them rose.
Next 3 months: model view positive
The published 63-session view is +1.98%, inside a band from −90.1% to +94.1%. Over the next 63 sessions the same past situations moved a median +2.7%, and 64% of them rose.
The long term
Price to book is -19.57. A year on, the past situations most like today's had moved a median +8.2%, and 68% of them rose.
How sure we are
Too few one-month calls on HONA have matured to score them yet. We update this note after every close.